@0x863C2a…3428

#2,912,2338

0x863c2a04d81d8cecd538cd877d83c26cffaa7d37

~14d· 346 markets · 849 tradesVol: $30,9132026-08-06 02:01:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (84/336)0/20
0.44x (win $729 / loss $1,654)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.8280/15
Sortino -8.7780/10
$-0.3261 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 943 (336 markets)7.8/10
1/14 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($925 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,608,536$-744Vol: $16,935
⚽ SPORTS#1,697,960$-119Vol: $11,116
🎭 CULTURE#69,264$10Vol: $1,144
🏛️ POLITICS#1,309,664$-12Vol: $865
🌤️ WEATHER#184,440$-1Vol: $854

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-866
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,913
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
346
total markets
Trades
499B / 350S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-866
Vol: $30,913

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
84W / 252L events
Realized PnL
$-866
Win Rate
25%
84W / 252L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $262 (0.30216932011037095% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$138
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$42
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$28
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$19

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$-214
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET$-93
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$-50
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$-50
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.496
Sortino
-0.492
HHI
343
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.332
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
35.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.9m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.9%
High (>55c)7.8%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 12:05:08 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/8/2026, 10:31:35 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
2/26/2026, 4:57:22 AM4 trades$8368 min
2/26/2026, 4:35:26 AM15 trades$80716 min
7/7/2026, 7:54:14 PM6 trades$5615 min
2/26/2026, 2:23:34 AM24 trades$54439 min
5/9/2026, 4:17:33 PM8 trades$4522 min
7/14/2026, 9:31:04 PM11 trades$4491 min
5/9/2026, 5:08:05 PM2 trades$4270 min
2/25/2026, 7:15:18 PM13 trades$20621 min
5/9/2026, 4:25:09 PM9 trades$1790 min
7/7/2026, 3:12:17 PM3 trades$1740 min
5/9/2026, 5:13:27 PM35 trades$1518 min
7/11/2026, 11:11:44 PM2 trades$1430 min
2/25/2026, 5:47:58 PM13 trades$14012 min
2/25/2026, 1:53:32 AM55 trades$13968 min
7/8/2026, 6:30:07 PM31 trades$1322 min
5/9/2026, 4:30:42 PM9 trades$1280 min
2/25/2026, 5:08:00 PM20 trades$12131 min
7/8/2026, 2:21:08 PM15 trades$1186 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
02-26
05-09
07-06
07-08
07-10
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.3 / M38.9 / H7.8