ToeTickler98

@ToeTickler98

#3,074,44830

0x866056133a70de9282a080758858d1a0c8b393ed

~38d· 88 markets · 3734 tradesVol: $5,401,4282026-08-04 21:05:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (53/88)15.1/20
0.68x (win $791,729 / loss $1,169,359)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2770/15
Sortino -3.6940/10
$-0.2898 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 448 (88 markets)10/10
15/30 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 282% of peak ($606,309 / $215,324)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 43.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,302,888 invested
High Roller
$22,464/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,883,632$-221,022Vol: $1,596,168

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-233,816
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,401,428
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
3059B / 675S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Week
$12
Vol: $74,162
Month
$22,763
Vol: $180,829
All Time
$-233,816
Vol: $5,401,428

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
53W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-233,816
Win Rate
60%
53W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$14,938
Avg Loss
$-33,410

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $474,564 (2.0296465270628277% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$249,736
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$166,920
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$57,908
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$54,524
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B$30,596
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$28,015
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha$27,348
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$27,337
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winner$21,673
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$15,932

Top Losers

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-139,642
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-133,635
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$-85,452
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$-72,541
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$-67,326
Knicks vs. Spurs$-64,430
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$-63,938
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$-60,185
Knicks vs. Spurs$-59,993
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner$-55,302

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.163
HHI
480
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.255
Kelly %
19.9%
Half-Kelly
9.9%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
36.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.0m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 5.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading1.5 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
43.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)45.8%
High (>55c)47.7%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 11:50:31 PM5 trades$117,8427 min
6/9/2026, 6:37:06 AM62 trades$81,9753 min
6/8/2026, 6:05:40 PM133 trades$80,1748 min
6/13/2026, 1:18:43 AM19 trades$60,8606 min
6/8/2026, 4:28:09 PM197 trades$59,90653 min
6/9/2026, 11:19:31 AM104 trades$59,10049 min
6/27/2026, 10:40:29 PM76 trades$56,1071 min
6/14/2026, 3:47:57 PM52 trades$53,9404 min
6/15/2026, 2:51:30 AM6 trades$50,0005 min
6/8/2026, 3:51:27 PM50 trades$47,46821 min
6/17/2026, 3:09:22 PM50 trades$46,71719 min
6/15/2026, 3:06:51 AM209 trades$43,52359 min
6/27/2026, 10:57:16 PM28 trades$42,0380 min
6/9/2026, 5:09:16 PM12 trades$35,0330 min
6/13/2026, 4:35:37 PM95 trades$34,78523 min
6/28/2026, 1:00:08 AM18 trades$33,0630 min
6/13/2026, 3:54:24 PM64 trades$33,0166 min
6/3/2026, 11:12:01 PM24 trades$32,27922 min
6/13/2026, 10:49:31 PM1 trades$32,0000 min
6/27/2026, 4:24:05 PM31 trades$31,44519 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-09
06-15
06-25
07-05
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 43.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M45.8 / H47.7