@ckwww

#2,860,55460

0x86974dde10087a6ff34978364ccd67dbea21190d

~108d· 550 markets · 4547 tradesVol: $427,5582026-08-04 09:32:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (434/540)20/20
1.22x (win $11,384 / loss $9,367)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4157.8/15
Sortino 0.6086.1/10
$+0.0107 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 90 (540 markets)10/10
66/92 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 313% of peak ($6,934 / $2,212)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Whale
$187,907 invested
Consistent
66/92 profitable days
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#298,708$-2,599Vol: $399,795
📈 ECONOMICS#1,752$2,398Vol: $11,171
🏛️ POLITICS#1,529,655$-111Vol: $8,624
SPORTS#1,750,751$-232Vol: $6,683
🎭 CULTURE#21,165$97Vol: $750
💻 TECH#248,732$-100Vol: $510
💰 FINANCE#122,866$1Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-546
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$427,558
Total Redeem
$50
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
550
total markets
Trades
1581B / 2966S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$-36
Vol: $2,257
Week
$-10
Vol: $6,707
Month
$-194
Vol: $10,153
All Time
$-546
Vol: $427,558

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
431W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$-546
Win Rate
80%
431W / 107L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-128

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,755 (14.212523823486293% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6,757
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$539
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$460
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$422
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?$290
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?$216
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$191
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?$169
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?$126
Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?$117

Top Losers

Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?$-6,596
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-372
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$-359
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-334
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-280
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?$-112
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$-100
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-81
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$-61
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 10?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.017
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.1%
High (>55c)82.1%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 1:40:49 AM21 trades$7,1682 min
5/14/2026, 9:57:50 PM40 trades$6,3157 min
6/28/2026, 9:50:56 AM9 trades$5,1150 min
7/14/2026, 12:06:07 AM5 trades$4,9460 min
5/15/2026, 6:26:30 AM35 trades$4,59010 min
7/30/2026, 11:54:15 AM33 trades$4,15210 min
5/14/2026, 1:20:12 AM48 trades$4,06614 min
5/11/2026, 4:44:49 AM37 trades$3,59916 min
5/26/2026, 10:06:16 PM2 trades$3,5740 min
5/13/2026, 1:55:25 PM63 trades$3,5285 min
5/5/2026, 8:14:14 AM35 trades$3,30314 min
5/6/2026, 11:43:05 PM40 trades$3,1656 min
7/7/2026, 1:15:46 AM20 trades$2,8175 min
5/17/2026, 12:58:57 AM25 trades$2,4712 min
5/15/2026, 12:51:51 PM28 trades$2,4439 min
5/26/2026, 1:05:26 AM14 trades$2,3623 min
5/13/2026, 9:39:00 PM49 trades$2,3167 min
5/15/2026, 4:04:41 AM39 trades$2,2916 min
5/12/2026, 10:34:20 PM57 trades$2,28113 min
5/16/2026, 1:54:27 AM36 trades$2,25511 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
03-27
05-02
05-17
06-21
07-14
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M8.1 / H82.1