@BlueFungus

#2,656,20933

0x86aaee1d4c7b9074889b745c082adcff8ec8a85b

~86d· 171 markets · 337 tradesVol: $12,7622026-08-04 19:47:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (98/161)15.4/20
0.90x (win $793 / loss $884)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8330/15
Sortino -1.0640/10
$-0.0211 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 178 (161 markets)10/10
42/75 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 376% of peak ($283 / $75)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#129,487$21Vol: $8,204
🎭 CULTURE#727,791$-21Vol: $1,602
₿ CRYPTO#1,528,916$-187Vol: $1,588
💰 FINANCE#62,610$8Vol: $833
📢 MENTIONS#98,424$-2Vol: $391
📈 ECONOMICS#27,658$22Vol: $106
🌤️ WEATHER#51,958$1Vol: $22
⚽ SPORTS#331,482$5Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-152
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,762
Total Redeem
$22
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
171
total markets
Trades
235B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-152
Vol: $12,762

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
98W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$-152
Win Rate
61%
98W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $142 (0.932812294758965% of PnL)

Top Winners

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$48
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$41
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$34
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$30
Nothing Ever Happens: May$23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?$20
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-100
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-51
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-50
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-45
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-44
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-41
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$-32
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-30
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-30
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.045
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.1%
High (>55c)68.5%

Sessions

#12
10/9/2025, 9:14:46 PM3 trades$4006 min
5/11/2026, 12:16:53 AM14 trades$2204 min
10/12/2025, 5:51:20 PM1 trades$1970 min
10/12/2025, 6:00:50 PM4 trades$1369 min
10/13/2025, 8:28:45 PM3 trades$1222 min
10/18/2025, 12:46:45 AM3 trades$1196 min
3/19/2026, 9:37:59 PM4 trades$1153 min
11/7/2025, 12:15:35 AM3 trades$1035 min
11/11/2025, 12:32:30 AM4 trades$1015 min
11/9/2025, 7:29:47 PM5 trades$1015 min
10/13/2025, 8:15:39 PM1 trades$990 min
4/10/2026, 3:37:07 AM6 trades$932 min
11/3/2025, 9:53:03 PM4 trades$905 min
10/13/2025, 9:09:59 PM2 trades$801 min
1/18/2026, 12:22:26 AM2 trades$802 min
11/5/2025, 9:47:57 PM2 trades$702 min
11/5/2025, 10:49:21 PM2 trades$701 min
6/2/2026, 12:04:47 AM7 trades$683 min
10/18/2025, 4:35:51 PM4 trades$653 min
5/9/2026, 8:07:23 PM5 trades$640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
10-25
11-14
12-29
02-10
03-22
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 147 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M25.1 / H68.5