@patosche

#48,41369

0x86b3a2f2cdcda6130e93707e7d9eb7191da95bfa

~110d· 244 markets · 1228 tradesVol: $129,4082026-08-04 18:11:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (32/223)0/20
3.10x (win $11,218 / loss $3,619)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.92315/15
Sortino 15.76710/10
$+0.7780 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 591 (223 markets)9.5/10
17/81 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($1,703 / $8,152)9.8/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,201
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 21%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#14,604$1,384Vol: $105,898
🎭 CULTURE#6,096$757Vol: $9,121
⚽ SPORTS#1,599,986$-53Vol: $7,645
₿ CRYPTO#76,859$142Vol: $1,924
📈 ECONOMICS#635,635$-27Vol: $1,728
🌤️ WEATHER#42,300$2Vol: $1,587
💻 TECH#225,430$-10Vol: $1,056
💰 FINANCE#76,233$5Vol: $450

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$129,408
Total Redeem
$452
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
244
total markets
Trades
591B / 637S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,201
Vol: $129,408

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
32W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$2,201
Win Rate
14%
32W / 191L
Profit Factor
3.1x
Avg Win
$351
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,006 (3.1830117619266116% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2,954
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,750
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$1,303
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1,058
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$730
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$547
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$420
US military action against Iran before July?$317
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?$297
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$264

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-365
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$-258
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$-232
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$-201
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$-149
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?$-130
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-115
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-78
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$-75

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.152
Sortino
0.789
HHI
803
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.681
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
51.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)15.4%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:59:55 PM2 trades$2,1570 min
5/9/2026, 6:56:42 AM4 trades$2,0200 min
5/8/2026, 1:41:17 PM25 trades$1,5606 min
4/25/2026, 11:59:40 AM59 trades$1,4361 min
5/6/2026, 10:23:22 AM30 trades$1,18511 min
4/8/2026, 3:10:21 PM2 trades$1,0590 min
5/8/2026, 8:43:12 PM31 trades$1,0451 min
4/4/2026, 12:42:37 PM6 trades$9732 min
4/16/2026, 5:08:32 PM44 trades$9717 min
4/8/2026, 2:58:15 PM3 trades$9390 min
4/9/2026, 8:40:19 PM49 trades$9375 min
4/9/2026, 4:45:15 PM8 trades$8320 min
7/25/2026, 6:02:00 PM27 trades$8011 min
4/29/2026, 5:40:10 PM10 trades$7996 min
4/3/2026, 7:27:21 PM7 trades$7820 min
5/1/2026, 11:37:50 AM15 trades$7630 min
4/24/2026, 12:24:56 PM21 trades$7571 min
4/24/2026, 11:31:10 AM24 trades$6884 min
5/8/2026, 8:57:46 PM13 trades$5601 min
4/9/2026, 9:16:27 AM2 trades$5410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-25
07-08
10-03
12-27
04-12
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L73.4 / M11.2 / H15.4