DanRonSantis

@DanRonSantis

#82,94185

0x86c21640e98204b628b12179080fe8a88e5941be

~79d· 118 markets · 457 tradesVol: $150,4402026-08-04 17:21:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (78/112)19.8/20
1.78x (win $3,190 / loss $1,795)12.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.39415/15
Sortino 4.64810/10
$+0.0951 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 291 (112 markets)10/10
38/58 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($678 / $1,394)4.3/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+973
Consistent
38/58 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#15,783$65Vol: $101,300
🏛️ POLITICS#19,553$870Vol: $15,886
📢 MENTIONS#2,277$479Vol: $10,967
₿ CRYPTO#1,509,846$-147Vol: $7,795
🎭 CULTURE#806,740$-563Vol: $6,521
💰 FINANCE#25,669$51Vol: $4,513
💻 TECH#3,410$256Vol: $3,075
⚽ SPORTS#1,556,574$-39Vol: $382

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$973
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,440
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
285B / 172S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $44
Week
$141
Vol: $54
Month
$227
Vol: $54
All Time
$973
Vol: $150,440

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
78W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$973
Win Rate
70%
78W / 34L
Profit Factor
1.78x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,670 (1.7157885004571465% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,160
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$309
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$201
Will Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$199
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$150
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$136
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?$117
Elon out of Trump administration before July?$77
Will Elise Stefanik be out as Ambassador to the United Nations in Trump's first 100 days?$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$53

Top Losers

Will any Democratic senator vote for government funding bill by Friday?$-678
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$-110
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-102
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?$-94
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$-85
Will Trump say "Tyler" or "Mangione" or "Kennedy" this week? (September 22-28)$-79
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-74
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-73
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$-70
TikTok sale announced by September 30?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.124
Sortino
0.155
HHI
248
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1050s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)55.4%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 7:22:02 PM44 trades$2,4932 min
6/19/2026, 2:21:34 AM9 trades$6590 min
3/14/2025, 5:42:31 AM2 trades$6585 min
6/2/2026, 11:39:39 PM4 trades$6181 min
4/2/2025, 8:57:20 PM4 trades$5883 min
6/26/2025, 11:23:25 AM1 trades$5680 min
6/24/2025, 6:08:57 PM4 trades$5641 min
6/28/2025, 10:48:51 AM3 trades$4851 min
4/27/2025, 9:55:59 AM1 trades$3920 min
9/11/2025, 5:09:39 PM1 trades$3790 min
4/21/2025, 5:54:30 PM2 trades$3740 min
7/30/2026, 10:25:06 PM1 trades$3560 min
6/19/2026, 3:03:53 AM10 trades$3374 min
7/9/2026, 6:15:34 PM2 trades$3000 min
7/1/2025, 5:34:29 PM2 trades$2980 min
7/2/2025, 3:35:27 AM1 trades$2980 min
7/1/2025, 4:13:11 PM1 trades$2490 min
3/18/2025, 11:05:30 PM2 trades$2462 min
9/6/2025, 4:13:46 AM1 trades$2450 min
3/27/2025, 10:14:42 PM2 trades$2420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
04-01
07-05
09-19
10-04
10-22
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M24.9 / H55.4