zcf1

@zcf1

#59,91357

0x86c8aa9a80a425453a7bbf287a36e4b23355a09d

~35d· 55 markets · 823 tradesVol: $99,8872026-08-04 18:58:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (11/54)0/20
1.89x (win $2,045 / loss $1,081)13.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.41315/15
Sortino 7.50610/10
$+0.1691 per $1 invested8.5/10
HHI 1768 (54 markets)3.7/10
7/27 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($420 / $1,109)6.4/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,660
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#3,485$1,712Vol: $84,474
📈 ECONOMICS#646,703$-48Vol: $14,345
SPORTS#960,484$-1Vol: $1,000
🏛️ POLITICS#718,925$-0Vol: $40
CRYPTO#857,179$-1Vol: $17
🌤️ WEATHER#212,673$-3Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,660
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$99,887
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
215B / 608S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $454
Week
$15
Vol: $1,454
Month
$15
Vol: $1,454
All Time
$1,660
Vol: $99,887

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
11W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$1,660
Win Rate
20%
11W / 43L
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$186
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,718 (1.035412147505423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1,387
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$179
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$153
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$106
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$62
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-356
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-96
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-86
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-80
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-64
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.124
Sortino
0.314
HHI
1105
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.168
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.4%
Top-5 markets
61.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 403s — normal for humanCV 3.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 11:32:22 AM10 trades$5,1022 min
7/7/2026, 4:49:38 PM2 trades$2,8630 min
7/21/2026, 12:53:39 PM4 trades$1,2540 min
6/23/2026, 3:19:02 PM3 trades$1,0470 min
6/25/2026, 6:33:07 AM33 trades$6143 min
7/7/2026, 3:25:41 PM18 trades$56110 min
7/17/2026, 2:24:40 PM3 trades$3890 min
6/25/2026, 8:30:52 PM21 trades$3741 min
6/22/2026, 4:39:02 PM2 trades$3680 min
6/22/2026, 10:07:46 PM4 trades$3310 min
6/25/2026, 8:08:08 PM34 trades$3174 min
6/25/2026, 3:17:17 PM10 trades$2901 min
6/11/2026, 5:45:33 AM17 trades$2852 min
6/25/2026, 7:53:46 PM28 trades$2711 min
6/23/2026, 2:24:02 PM13 trades$2233 min
6/25/2026, 9:43:25 AM2 trades$2170 min
6/22/2026, 1:52:10 AM11 trades$2091 min
6/5/2026, 1:43:39 PM7 trades$2053 min
7/28/2026, 11:16:31 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/25/2026, 9:12:04 AM17 trades$1940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-09
06-25
07-03
07-07
07-17
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L40 / M16.7 / H43.3