@abouttojump

#3,074,82422

0x86e7074d1d0742b67ff463abdb1534174214613e

~238d· 258 markets · 10469 tradesVol: $4,825,0572026-08-04 22:48:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (117/253)8.1/20
0.44x (win $376,408 / loss $849,060)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9300/15
Sortino -3.9700/10
$-0.3421 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 232 (253 markets)10/10
48/104 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 975% of peak ($528,000 / $54,155)0/10

Badges

8
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
DCA Master
Avg 47.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,381,774 invested
High Roller
$3,446/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,883,688$-224,173Vol: $2,914,066
CRYPTO#1,676,812$-141,131Vol: $1,765,630
🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,020$-2,339Vol: $145,362

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-367,643
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,825,057
Total Redeem
$38,285
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
258
total markets
Trades
9649B / 820S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~238d

Periods

#2
Today
$-176
Vol: $0
Week
$62
Vol: $0
Month
$175
Vol: $0
All Time
$-367,643
Vol: $4,825,057

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
117W / 136L events
Realized PnL
$-367,643
Win Rate
46%
117W / 136L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$3,217
Avg Loss
$-6,289

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58,879 (0.16015303866489625% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)$23,813
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$19,571
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15,496
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$12,450
Aspinall vs. Gane$12,400
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov$11,640
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$8,700
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)$8,400
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?$8,171
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)$7,000

Top Losers

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-136,760
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-124,300
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-90,842
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$-29,400
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-22,038
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico $-20,400
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$-19,385
Knicks vs. Spurs$-19,040
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-17,139
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$-16,479

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.205
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
334
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.300
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
34.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.6m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 4.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency0.6 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
47.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.8%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)29.1%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 11:16:03 AM3 trades$40,7000 min
5/31/2026, 12:57:42 PM13 trades$24,9055 min
6/14/2026, 6:29:42 AM1 trades$24,0000 min
4/26/2026, 2:04:10 AM3 trades$19,8000 min
6/9/2025, 12:27:24 AM2 trades$18,0535 min
5/31/2026, 7:48:51 AM49 trades$17,39055 min
6/1/2026, 6:47:23 PM4 trades$16,6003 min
4/5/2026, 1:20:07 AM55 trades$13,7689 min
3/1/2026, 2:46:09 AM68 trades$13,69424 min
3/8/2026, 4:48:09 AM133 trades$13,39713 min
6/25/2025, 6:12:45 PM6 trades$12,7096 min
4/10/2026, 4:55:15 PM4 trades$12,08210 min
4/5/2026, 2:08:49 AM29 trades$11,2956 min
3/7/2026, 10:37:33 PM108 trades$11,21473 min
10/25/2025, 7:37:59 PM4 trades$10,8175 min
6/15/2026, 2:35:40 AM1 trades$10,7160 min
6/6/2026, 12:24:25 AM42 trades$10,39511 min
6/14/2026, 10:30:03 AM3 trades$10,2463 min
4/5/2026, 2:19:49 AM2 trades$10,1690 min
4/10/2026, 5:16:43 AM1 trades$10,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
07-26
10-22
02-01
03-29
05-09
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 331 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 47.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.8 / M24 / H29.1