@noerr

#2,688,2003

0x8725d12599dea6c65d6775c5817dc722aa4601a3

~10d· 13 markets · 65 tradesVol: $4,6832026-08-05 15:52:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (2/11)0/20
0.62x (win $135 / loss $219)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8050/15
Sortino -4.0790/10
$-0.2674 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1963 (11 markets)2.7/10
2/10 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($183 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#751,833$-36Vol: $1,909
🏛️ POLITICS#1,525,094$-103Vol: $1,624
📢 MENTIONS#160,379$-70Vol: $839
⚽ SPORTS#1,190,607$-5Vol: $192
📈 ECONOMICS#22,404$33Vol: $117
💻 TECH#59,214$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-180
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,683
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
39B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-180
Vol: $4,683

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-180
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $135 (0.7477252552152684% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$134
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$1

Top Losers

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$-80
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$-50
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$-30
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?$-20
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?$-16
Trump out as President by June 30?$-10
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?$-7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.222
HHI
3831
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.217
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
53.4%
Top-5 markets
106.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.8m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 288s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern6/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.55
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)10.3%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 12:55:43 AM4 trades$2651 min
4/1/2026, 11:38:59 PM4 trades$1200 min
4/29/2026, 8:39:54 PM2 trades$1170 min
4/7/2026, 8:33:27 PM4 trades$1004 min
4/5/2026, 6:00:57 PM24 trades$860 min
5/4/2026, 8:29:30 PM2 trades$600 min
4/7/2026, 11:51:11 PM2 trades$590 min
4/7/2026, 8:16:23 PM4 trades$450 min
6/25/2026, 8:57:55 PM8 trades$365 min
4/29/2026, 9:23:08 PM3 trades$220 min
4/9/2026, 11:21:03 PM4 trades$30 min
4/16/2026, 8:25:06 PM2 trades$20 min
6/18/2026, 2:59:29 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-05
04-07
04-09
04-16
04-29
05-04
05-07
06-18
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.55/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.1 / M7.7 / H10.3