CorkisGeldbeutel

@CorkisGeldbeutel

#11,12690

0x875e974594985283c999765461bf2e15b4dee6b5

~164d· 4159 markets · 23726 tradesVol: $2,573,4132026-08-04 15:18:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (3248/4107)20/20
2.92x (win $15,930 / loss $5,458)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.95115/15
Sortino 13.95610/10
$+0.0097 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 31 (4107 markets)10/10
121/161 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($2,084 / $10,472)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+13,602
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,074,449 invested
Consistent
121/161 profitable days
High Roller
$4,631/day
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#142$13,116Vol: $2,314,232
CRYPTO#84,580$115Vol: $81,020
🏛️ POLITICS#49,751$163Vol: $57,657
🎭 CULTURE#35,931$38Vol: $50,504
SPORTS#94,323$171Vol: $31,298
💰 FINANCE#41,513$19Vol: $26,120
📈 ECONOMICS#498,108$-1Vol: $6,233
💻 TECH#11,328$28Vol: $2,703
📢 MENTIONS#20,540$9Vol: $840

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,602
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,573,413
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4159
total markets
Trades
15983B / 7743S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~164d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $525
Week
$-163
Vol: $2,840
Month
$-142
Vol: $2,901
All Time
$13,602
Vol: $2,573,413

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
3248W / 859L events
Realized PnL
$13,602
Win Rate
79%
3248W / 859L
Profit Factor
2.92x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,720 (0.12645999501541325% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 24?$864
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?$495
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 24?$361
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 27?$344
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 30?$326
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 26?$325
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 2?$281
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?$253
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 29?$226
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on February 1?$217

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 1?$-1,019
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?$-912
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 27?$-463
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 2?$-281
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?$-229
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 19?$-92
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?$-90
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 3?$-85
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 2?$-83

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.310
Sortino
0.345
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
102.3
Very active
Markets / Day
17.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.6m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.4

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock102 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)77.3%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 2:53:38 PM75 trades$15,87824 min
5/3/2026, 12:01:50 AM48 trades$13,86320 min
1/30/2026, 2:16:24 PM16 trades$13,45725 min
4/26/2026, 8:55:36 PM45 trades$13,21113 min
7/18/2026, 9:51:04 AM25 trades$12,8473 min
4/27/2026, 11:22:46 AM48 trades$12,2729 min
7/16/2026, 4:00:44 PM68 trades$12,1037 min
4/29/2026, 4:00:52 AM93 trades$11,84014 min
4/29/2026, 1:41:26 PM60 trades$11,4572 min
4/25/2026, 4:53:20 AM69 trades$10,32410 min
4/25/2026, 9:21:12 AM36 trades$10,3000 min
4/25/2026, 8:58:06 PM82 trades$9,4166 min
4/24/2026, 10:21:12 AM72 trades$9,09915 min
4/27/2026, 12:21:12 PM57 trades$9,0333 min
4/30/2026, 6:53:46 PM52 trades$8,96821 min
4/30/2026, 7:49:36 PM59 trades$8,96517 min
4/29/2026, 9:51:14 AM19 trades$8,7745 min
4/27/2026, 1:25:18 PM34 trades$8,4501 min
5/1/2026, 9:20:32 AM14 trades$8,2870 min
7/18/2026, 4:54:36 PM17 trades$8,2450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-11
01-06
02-01
03-11
04-30
06-12
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M10.2 / H77.3