@Ipredictthemarket

#100,59554

0x8782bb51e96f71ea4f9624231a4a2f85c207456e

~33d· 52 markets · 246 tradesVol: $21,2552026-08-05 17:24:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (6/45)0/20
1.46x (win $910 / loss $624)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.73315/15
Sortino 3.91610/10
$+0.2183 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1167 (45 markets)6.7/10
5/24 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($285 / $572)4/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+681
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#6,534$296Vol: $15,193
🏛️ POLITICS#1,429,720$-34Vol: $2,784
⚽ SPORTS#61,519$422Vol: $2,016
🎭 CULTURE#650,855$-5Vol: $1,058
💻 TECH#205,703$-2Vol: $191
📢 MENTIONS#95,120$-2Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$674
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,255
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
119B / 127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-16
Vol: $285
All Time
$674
Vol: $21,255

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
6W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$681
Win Rate
13%
6W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$152
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $853 (1.2522142741734112% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$477
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$337
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$38
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?$36
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?$13
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or more in January?$8

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-227
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-117
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-23
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$-20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-20
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?$-18
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.089
Sortino
0.199
HHI
4549
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.151
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
62.1%
Top-5 markets
110.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 83s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)77.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)12.6%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 7:14:48 AM10 trades$1,0325 min
7/20/2026, 8:53:12 PM9 trades$8852 min
4/14/2026, 9:13:27 AM10 trades$8711 min
7/14/2026, 8:23:59 PM24 trades$5982 min
5/8/2026, 12:44:39 PM13 trades$57715 min
12/19/2025, 6:32:13 PM2 trades$2701 min
12/19/2025, 6:14:01 PM2 trades$2500 min
6/16/2026, 8:25:38 PM10 trades$2495 min
5/11/2026, 6:33:41 AM12 trades$1955 min
7/10/2026, 7:54:34 PM2 trades$1580 min
7/8/2026, 8:04:32 PM2 trades$1500 min
4/20/2026, 7:15:38 PM7 trades$1455 min
6/30/2026, 9:57:41 PM21 trades$1075 min
7/6/2026, 9:07:02 PM6 trades$981 min
4/24/2026, 12:27:50 PM8 trades$826 min
1/31/2025, 12:37:11 AM2 trades$621 min
8/1/2026, 5:58:38 PM3 trades$540 min
4/24/2026, 12:20:18 PM2 trades$520 min
1/29/2025, 4:28:59 PM1 trades$490 min
7/3/2026, 12:26:55 PM15 trades$494 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
12-22
03-01
05-08
07-03
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.3 / M10.1 / H12.6