@Hersdurk

#2,228,16539

0x87a52a83ea0ba1338c23d5d2d6b516748f08e43e

~133d· 189 markets · 341 tradesVol: $20,7112026-08-04 19:59:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (128/187)19.2/20
0.64x (win $73 / loss $114)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0320/15
Sortino -1.0860/10
$-0.0124 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 512 (187 markets)9.9/10
88/117 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($90 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Consistent
88/117 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,513,194$-28Vol: $12,997
🏛️ POLITICS#322,035$1Vol: $2,926
🎭 CULTURE#170,554$1Vol: $1,715
CRYPTO#125,463$52Vol: $1,518
💰 FINANCE#620,621$-54Vol: $1,462
📈 ECONOMICS#122,196$1Vol: $82
💻 TECH#215,960$-5Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,711
Total Redeem
$83
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
189
total markets
Trades
226B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $3
Week
$2
Vol: $3
Month
$2
Vol: $3
All Time
$-32
Vol: $20,711

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
128W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-32
Win Rate
68%
128W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (1.090937306021105% of PnL)

Top Winners

GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?$13
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?$10
Panthers vs. Wild$7
Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?$6
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4
Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?$3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2
Western Kentucky vs. James Madison$2
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?$1

Top Losers

Kraken IPO in 2025?$-53
Jets vs. Ducks$-15
Canucks vs. Utah$-10
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$-5
Maple Leafs vs. Stars$-5
Flyers vs. Red Wings$-5
Kraken vs. Blackhawks$-5
Devils vs. Blue Jackets$-5
Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$-2
Will Jesse Plemons win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.017
HHI
420
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
36.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.2h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13176s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.94
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)89.8%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 10:19:40 PM2 trades$3580 min
5/15/2026, 11:19:58 AM8 trades$3280 min
6/26/2026, 5:33:19 AM3 trades$2700 min
5/4/2026, 1:58:02 AM2 trades$2510 min
6/30/2026, 12:11:22 AM2 trades$2030 min
5/16/2026, 10:17:49 PM5 trades$1950 min
5/22/2026, 1:09:22 AM7 trades$1750 min
7/25/2026, 12:46:07 PM1 trades$1750 min
5/12/2026, 11:09:29 AM2 trades$1660 min
5/28/2026, 11:41:25 PM5 trades$1090 min
12/18/2024, 3:38:49 PM17 trades$894 min
5/4/2026, 7:25:18 PM2 trades$830 min
6/28/2026, 12:34:34 PM2 trades$670 min
5/3/2026, 8:38:28 PM2 trades$580 min
11/3/2025, 12:23:17 PM2 trades$552 min
11/7/2025, 9:00:03 AM1 trades$480 min
1/4/2025, 6:47:03 AM2 trades$441 min
2/22/2025, 7:38:34 PM1 trades$430 min
3/10/2025, 12:08:39 PM1 trades$430 min
3/10/2025, 12:00:05 PM1 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
07-26
12-10
02-21
03-29
05-11
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M4 / H89.8