@tailevent

#2,828,67710

0x87ef64cc61421e9852a97b00d5adec7f342099cd

~154d· 5122 markets · 36363 tradesVol: $3,549,0462026-08-04 18:13:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

2% (119/5073)0/20
0.69x (win $2,144 / loss $3,129)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7150/15
Sortino -4.9890/10
$-0.2519 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 398 (5073 markets)10/10
7/78 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 267% of peak ($1,885 / $706)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
100% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,608,003$-730Vol: $831,655
⚽ SPORTS#1,785,061$-409Vol: $753,698
🎭 CULTURE#805,015$-469Vol: $569,248
🏛️ POLITICS#43,539$208Vol: $552,187
💰 FINANCE#5,782$624Vol: $506,793
🌤️ WEATHER#280,077$-67Vol: $114,065
📈 ECONOMICS#4,520$538Vol: $87,743
💻 TECH#246,625$-70Vol: $80,342
📢 MENTIONS#139,087$-17Vol: $16,800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,549,046
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5122
total markets
Trades
35333B / 1030S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~154d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $5
Month
$-58
Vol: $5
All Time
$-427
Vol: $3,549,046

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
2%
119W / 4954L events
Realized PnL
$-427
Win Rate
2%
119W / 4954L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,794 (4.203651619556556% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$1,054
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$599
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$140
Will Trevor Lawrence be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?$63
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?$40
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?$33
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?$11
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$11
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?$11

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$-2
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-2
Will the price of Solana be above $230 on November 1?$-2
Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$-2
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be less than 21%?$-2
Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?$-2
Will Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-2
$-2
$-2
$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.089
Sortino
-0.388
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.265
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
9.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
129.4
Very active
Markets / Day
18.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
25 min
Avg Trades / Session
90.0

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 11.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock129 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.98
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0.2%

Sessions

#12
11/7/2025, 9:16:27 AM8 trades$1,05815 min
5/15/2026, 7:40:57 AM6 trades$4781 min
3/23/2026, 9:58:15 AM3 trades$2021 min
3/23/2026, 5:56:57 AM1 trades$1400 min
3/1/2026, 12:40:55 PM1 trades$1240 min
7/15/2026, 1:49:25 PM6 trades$576 min
11/21/2025, 8:15:15 PM910 trades$4877 min
1/21/2026, 5:57:26 AM1 trades$460 min
11/25/2025, 2:59:15 PM6 trades$3912 min
12/4/2025, 3:06:37 AM329 trades$3983 min
4/10/2026, 11:11:13 AM1 trades$360 min
11/28/2025, 7:24:05 PM98 trades$35103 min
11/9/2025, 2:26:07 PM9 trades$323 min
12/17/2025, 3:35:43 AM89 trades$297 min
7/29/2026, 6:45:05 AM1 trades$240 min
12/19/2025, 3:25:28 PM86 trades$2457 min
12/19/2025, 4:32:05 PM78 trades$2429 min
12/16/2025, 7:53:55 PM69 trades$2251 min
11/28/2025, 5:50:35 PM81 trades$2267 min
12/15/2025, 1:25:25 AM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
11-13
11-26
12-09
12-22
01-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L99.8 / M0 / H0.2