@TomPalma

#121,16424

0x88bc8cadcd14994cbf45563b9ebaa36f70cb403c

~16d· 37 markets · 116 tradesVol: $8,2522026-08-06 15:54:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (18/37)9.3/20
0.91x (win $745 / loss $821)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7500/15
Sortino -0.9200/10
$-0.0497 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 711 (37 markets)8.9/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 276% of peak ($421 / $152)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+454

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#64,041$387Vol: $6,670
💰 FINANCE#23,938$61Vol: $314
🏛️ POLITICS#244,514$3Vol: $232
📢 MENTIONS#129,802$-10Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$454
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,252
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
45B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
18W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$454
Win Rate
49%
18W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $481 (1.0574578583689098% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$263
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$120
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$98
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$72
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$43
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$26
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23
Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$15

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-80
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-71
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-40
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$-40
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-40
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-20
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
1080
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
65.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.9%
High (>55c)62.2%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 10:31:14 AM15 trades$4763 min
7/5/2026, 1:50:47 PM2 trades$2820 min
6/9/2026, 3:27:15 PM22 trades$2492 min
6/28/2026, 11:05:34 AM6 trades$2190 min
5/4/2026, 7:00:26 AM5 trades$2162 min
7/13/2026, 2:12:32 PM2 trades$2050 min
7/2/2026, 10:54:01 AM10 trades$1972 min
6/14/2026, 12:14:46 AM18 trades$1874 min
7/10/2026, 7:48:11 AM2 trades$1670 min
7/8/2026, 8:34:32 AM2 trades$1640 min
6/12/2026, 11:50:40 AM11 trades$1543 min
6/30/2026, 7:21:49 PM4 trades$1460 min
3/2/2026, 5:15:55 PM5 trades$1405 min
6/30/2026, 3:31:01 PM4 trades$401 min
3/5/2026, 2:24:55 PM2 trades$230 min
3/7/2026, 10:22:27 PM2 trades$220 min
3/2/2026, 6:06:35 PM2 trades$204 min
3/11/2026, 9:48:15 AM1 trades$100 min
3/11/2026, 7:40:23 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-07
05-04
06-12
06-28
07-02
07-07
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.9 / M28.9 / H62.2