@0x88ce…3a36

#2,087,8424

0x88cec6f39049ae105203aad95fdac5f81e6a3a36

~36d· 59 markets · 317 tradesVol: $11,8352026-08-04 19:59:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (12/51)0/20
0.30x (win $314 / loss $1,049)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9370/15
Sortino -6.9090/10
$-0.4475 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1605 (51 markets)4.5/10
5/23 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 568% of peak ($891 / $157)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#626,991$-76Vol: $3,611
🏛️ POLITICS#52,870$145Vol: $3,023
🌤️ WEATHER#254,223$-15Vol: $2,323
📈 ECONOMICS#665,349$-148Vol: $1,252
🎭 CULTURE#31,516$48Vol: $903
💻 TECH#9,633$39Vol: $628
📢 MENTIONS#142,201$-20Vol: $67
₿ CRYPTO#262,783$7Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,835
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
120B / 197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-24
Vol: $0
Week
$-34
Vol: $83
Month
$-108
Vol: $728
All Time
$-20
Vol: $11,835

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
12W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
24%
12W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $251 (12.316977428851816% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$98
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$79
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$74
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?$21
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?$9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?$8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 24?$4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?$3
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-181
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$-148
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-136
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$-124
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?$-111
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-74
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-56
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-48
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$-39
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.355
Sortino
-0.360
HHI
838
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.483
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.7%
Top-5 markets
46.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
34.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2078s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)49.2%
High (>55c)27.5%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 5:50:32 PM3 trades$1,6440 min
7/8/2026, 5:29:58 PM18 trades$4311 min
6/20/2026, 9:11:13 PM5 trades$2710 min
8/1/2026, 2:32:24 PM2 trades$2080 min
7/24/2026, 6:11:58 AM12 trades$2064 min
7/21/2026, 6:22:49 PM3 trades$1920 min
7/4/2026, 9:05:02 AM7 trades$1790 min
7/23/2026, 9:23:21 AM3 trades$1130 min
7/5/2026, 1:20:53 PM1 trades$1100 min
8/1/2026, 3:00:21 PM4 trades$1095 min
7/9/2026, 5:30:02 AM4 trades$1030 min
7/30/2026, 7:25:15 AM1 trades$980 min
7/5/2026, 6:22:16 PM4 trades$970 min
7/19/2026, 8:28:31 PM3 trades$970 min
7/19/2026, 11:30:55 AM5 trades$940 min
7/26/2026, 8:39:52 PM4 trades$930 min
7/25/2026, 5:09:03 PM6 trades$890 min
7/8/2026, 5:35:50 AM3 trades$860 min
4/25/2026, 4:37:42 AM26 trades$853 min
8/1/2026, 3:22:27 PM3 trades$850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
06-12
06-23
07-01
07-17
07-21
07-27
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
52% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.9/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.3 / M49.2 / H27.5