@donaldcheng

#2,778,24028

0x8970f3186b05c43118b0a5f8632336459e83f311

~15d· 110 markets · 522 tradesVol: $31,2792026-08-04 19:58:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (62/110)13.2/20
0.59x (win $3,208 / loss $5,480)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8750/15
Sortino -4.8940/10
$-0.1180 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 242 (110 markets)10/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 2915% of peak ($2,559 / $88)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,800,744$-532Vol: $26,874
₿ CRYPTO#79,268$132Vol: $3,590
💰 FINANCE#17,846$103Vol: $815

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,279
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
110
total markets
Trades
209B / 313S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
63W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-297
Win Rate
57%
63W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-141

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $696 (2.343164983164983% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$244
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$230
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5$222
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?$166
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$154
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$125
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$120
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5$119
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$113
New Zealand vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5$112

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-1,160
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-535
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5$-400
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-400
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5$-320
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-201
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-200
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)$-200
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-200
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-200

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
30.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.7m
between trades
Night Trading
59%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)59% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule26 trades/day — high frequency5.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.21
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)80.4%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 2:22:07 AM13 trades$3,0452 min
6/28/2026, 2:32:41 AM20 trades$2,3598 min
6/28/2026, 3:36:55 AM11 trades$2,0979 min
6/28/2026, 1:59:31 AM14 trades$1,6454 min
6/28/2026, 1:10:43 AM14 trades$1,5814 min
6/19/2026, 4:50:40 AM5 trades$1,4532 min
7/3/2026, 1:39:37 AM33 trades$1,4511 min
6/27/2026, 9:05:49 PM32 trades$1,31614 min
6/28/2026, 9:27:22 AM33 trades$1,19410 min
6/28/2026, 4:32:50 AM5 trades$9190 min
6/15/2026, 3:05:18 PM27 trades$9016 min
6/27/2026, 10:01:49 AM7 trades$8780 min
6/27/2026, 4:53:34 AM17 trades$8348 min
6/14/2026, 9:18:57 AM2 trades$7140 min
6/21/2026, 7:48:02 AM1 trades$6990 min
6/15/2026, 1:47:12 PM5 trades$5860 min
6/14/2026, 9:45:07 AM4 trades$5580 min
6/27/2026, 4:10:58 AM17 trades$5518 min
6/26/2026, 11:55:02 PM10 trades$4848 min
6/27/2026, 9:38:29 PM21 trades$48111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-18
06-21
06-25
06-27
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M14.4 / H80.4