@somerisk

#69,41477

0x899f579beb2ba3aa028b42140fcc0879490f7fcf

~37d· 41 markets · 149 tradesVol: $223,3522026-08-04 20:39:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (21/26)20/20
1.80x (win $2,834 / loss $1,575)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.03715/15
Sortino 4.45910/10
$+0.0111 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 1214 (26 markets)6.4/10
12/15 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($1,537 / $2,797)3/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+1,317
Whale
$113,910 invested
Consistent
12/15 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#14,567$1,390Vol: $103,230
₿ CRYPTO#1,488,610$-115Vol: $98,440
🎭 CULTURE#35,620$38Vol: $18,217
📈 ECONOMICS#31,355$17Vol: $3,000
⚽ SPORTS#1,395,296$-13Vol: $465

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,317
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$223,352
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
97B / 52S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,317
Vol: $223,352

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
21W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$1,317
Win Rate
81%
21W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$135
Avg Loss
$-315

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,515 (1.1501578771594254% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$587
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$490
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$438
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$295
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?$222
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$214
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$186
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$149
Tether insolvent in 2025?$80
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$68

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-570
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$-478
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$-338
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?$-144
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$-45

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.154
Sortino
0.111
HHI
309
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)90.7%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2025, 12:58:03 PM11 trades$26,55910 min
7/14/2025, 11:30:26 AM10 trades$24,7032 min
1/13/2026, 7:38:58 PM2 trades$23,2220 min
5/7/2025, 1:42:11 PM6 trades$19,4902 min
4/4/2026, 3:02:25 PM12 trades$17,1340 min
11/27/2025, 5:05:37 PM2 trades$10,6231 min
1/1/2026, 9:09:05 AM6 trades$10,3591 min
11/26/2025, 9:35:11 PM2 trades$6,5710 min
1/13/2026, 7:22:00 PM6 trades$5,9697 min
1/22/2026, 4:33:32 PM1 trades$5,1830 min
1/21/2026, 9:09:34 PM3 trades$5,1252 min
1/1/2026, 5:09:21 PM3 trades$4,6800 min
1/27/2026, 11:12:15 PM2 trades$4,2690 min
8/3/2025, 10:52:44 AM5 trades$4,2562 min
2/2/2026, 4:01:52 PM2 trades$3,3541 min
1/18/2026, 10:19:06 AM2 trades$3,2361 min
2/8/2026, 1:57:59 PM2 trades$3,2132 min
12/1/2025, 1:05:40 PM6 trades$2,2142 min
1/24/2026, 7:59:32 PM1 trades$2,1170 min
2/2/2026, 3:37:28 PM11 trades$2,0263 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
07-14
09-03
10-16
12-01
12-16
02-01
02-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M2.1 / H90.7