@0x8CE3f2…3111

#164,32743

0x8ce3f27cf3d607845cc4601adf39356b7cb5ee04

~10d· 47 markets · 155 tradesVol: $17,9872026-08-04 23:02:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (16/47)2/20
1.24x (win $1,408 / loss $1,134)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.73915/15
Sortino 6.28910/10
$+0.2532 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2401 (47 markets)0.5/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 114% of peak ($365 / $321)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+229
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#10,797$303Vol: $10,938
⚽ SPORTS#1,639,648$-73Vol: $6,505
🌤️ WEATHER#245,350$-10Vol: $531
💰 FINANCE#61,680$8Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$229
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,987
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
53B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
16W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$229
Win Rate
34%
16W / 31L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-47

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $829 (3.6263611317619278% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$444
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$197
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$188
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$91
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$81
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$67
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$67
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$30
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$24

Top Losers

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-400
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$-336
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-60
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$-40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-40
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$-30
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-20
Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-20
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.136
Sortino
0.323
HHI
2612
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.9%
Top-5 markets
101.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 648s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule16 trades/day — very active4.7 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)24.5%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 2:09:28 PM7 trades$5,0193 min
6/16/2026, 4:44:07 PM2 trades$7690 min
6/17/2026, 9:28:58 PM4 trades$4320 min
6/14/2026, 2:30:33 PM11 trades$4091 min
6/18/2026, 8:05:14 PM11 trades$4012 min
6/19/2026, 8:03:34 AM13 trades$2100 min
6/13/2026, 5:31:30 PM6 trades$2052 min
6/16/2026, 4:54:55 PM4 trades$2003 min
6/16/2026, 9:19:34 PM5 trades$1651 min
6/20/2026, 8:04:04 PM6 trades$1212 min
6/17/2026, 8:47:08 AM4 trades$1031 min
6/16/2026, 2:41:08 PM7 trades$953 min
6/21/2026, 1:41:50 PM4 trades$830 min
6/14/2026, 2:18:13 PM5 trades$832 min
6/16/2026, 4:00:34 PM2 trades$770 min
6/14/2026, 10:03:10 PM6 trades$741 min
6/15/2026, 7:54:49 PM2 trades$680 min
6/21/2026, 2:38:20 PM6 trades$650 min
6/16/2026, 6:36:36 AM2 trades$560 min
6/17/2026, 8:38:17 AM2 trades$560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.6 / M35.8 / H24.5