@JustLuck…lied

#2,778,02920

0x8a03f2eda3f6688cdf00fd5f88f9b5dea92ccf2d

~34d· 233 markets · 809 tradesVol: $21,8952026-08-04 19:06:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (95/222)6.4/20
0.60x (win $385 / loss $641)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7830/15
Sortino -4.8880/10
$-0.0828 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 681 (222 markets)9.1/10
16/32 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 9120% of peak ($340 / $4)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#269,318$-32Vol: $12,280
⚽ SPORTS#1,562,046$-40Vol: $4,012
🏛️ POLITICS#1,291,630$-11Vol: $1,349
₿ CRYPTO#1,495,499$-121Vol: $1,308
💰 FINANCE#628,801$-85Vol: $1,124
📈 ECONOMICS#539,673$-3Vol: $558

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,895
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
233
total markets
Trades
407B / 402S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
95W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$-297
Win Rate
43%
95W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $168 (0.5652774502206799% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?$91
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$60
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$15
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026?$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?$8
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 1?$6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$6
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 1?$5

Top Losers

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$-139
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$-82
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-01?$-74
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-32
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$-19
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$-13
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in June?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.206
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.189
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 645s — normal for humanCV 3.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.8%
High (>55c)40.8%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 9:54:01 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/5/2026, 10:01:40 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/5/2026, 5:06:45 PM20 trades$8531 min
6/5/2026, 11:59:15 AM4 trades$5130 min
7/3/2026, 7:54:44 PM11 trades$4710 min
6/6/2026, 4:31:39 PM5 trades$4070 min
6/6/2026, 3:41:21 PM6 trades$3670 min
6/7/2026, 6:32:30 AM3 trades$3320 min
7/10/2026, 8:03:58 AM3 trades$2780 min
4/2/2026, 12:16:59 AM12 trades$2635 min
6/7/2026, 4:30:37 AM20 trades$2251 min
7/7/2026, 2:04:38 PM6 trades$1420 min
6/13/2026, 8:11:43 PM8 trades$1131 min
7/4/2026, 10:34:01 PM2 trades$1110 min
7/8/2026, 3:56:25 PM2 trades$1100 min
6/15/2026, 3:07:42 AM5 trades$1041 min
6/14/2026, 5:55:46 PM17 trades$1009 min
4/1/2026, 10:14:29 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/1/2026, 7:14:49 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 5:48:51 PM4 trades$790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
06-06
06-17
06-28
07-05
07-11
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.4 / M39.8 / H40.8