@Tokyo.is.hot

#32,60180

0x8a19890daccd81dc8eab48ea8a311d2a801e073d

~153d· 1102 markets · 6860 tradesVol: $426,1962026-08-04 20:09:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (833/1094)20/20
1.40x (win $10,055 / loss $7,162)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.47315/15
Sortino 3.78610/10
$+0.0201 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 35 (1094 markets)10/10
89/144 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($1,012 / $3,570)8.3/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+3,662
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Whale
$143,994 invested
Consistent
89/144 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#390$5,277Vol: $315,494
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,634$-721Vol: $26,110
📢 MENTIONS#6,437$90Vol: $24,861
🎭 CULTURE#796,272$-219Vol: $17,869
💰 FINANCE#650,105$-508Vol: $13,280
⚽ SPORTS#1,609,295$-56Vol: $11,874
₿ CRYPTO#1,438,980$-77Vol: $1,616
💻 TECH#30,010$3Vol: $302
📈 ECONOMICS#176,898$0Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,662
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$426,196
Total Redeem
$1,553
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1102
total markets
Trades
2534B / 4326S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~153d

Periods

#2
Today
$-21
Vol: $1,001
Week
$1
Vol: $4,618
Month
$62
Vol: $5,780
All Time
$3,662
Vol: $426,196

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
833W / 261L events
Realized PnL
$3,662
Win Rate
76%
833W / 261L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,430 (0.39041213719884327% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?$517
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?$489
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?$423
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?$368
Will Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?$291
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?$282
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$265
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?$235
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$223
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?$206

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?$-981
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?$-411
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?$-233
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-207
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?$-193
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$-190
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-189
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 30?$-176
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$-157
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$-145

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.136
HHI
32
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.0m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 280s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active2.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)13.2%
High (>55c)74%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 5:01:17 AM15 trades$3,3484 min
4/3/2026, 7:43:07 AM10 trades$2,7072 min
6/27/2026, 2:33:19 PM23 trades$2,2381 min
5/1/2026, 6:03:34 AM12 trades$1,9232 min
6/12/2026, 1:25:31 PM31 trades$1,79611 min
5/13/2026, 2:33:27 AM9 trades$1,7911 min
5/14/2026, 1:37:10 AM18 trades$1,5240 min
6/9/2026, 1:31:12 PM12 trades$1,5020 min
6/10/2026, 2:49:04 PM17 trades$1,4993 min
5/4/2026, 1:30:36 AM64 trades$1,4827 min
6/12/2026, 1:20:01 PM15 trades$1,4760 min
4/27/2026, 3:12:08 AM5 trades$1,3934 min
6/5/2026, 2:53:57 PM15 trades$1,3691 min
5/5/2026, 12:57:08 AM26 trades$1,3507 min
5/10/2026, 3:34:00 AM32 trades$1,2862 min
5/22/2026, 11:37:11 PM16 trades$1,2313 min
5/2/2026, 2:08:36 PM19 trades$1,1092 min
5/11/2026, 2:36:37 AM46 trades$1,0928 min
6/4/2026, 3:23:57 AM8 trades$1,0731 min
5/28/2026, 2:29:52 AM6 trades$1,0510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
02-08
03-04
04-16
05-17
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M13.2 / H74