@0x8a6C31…5195

#3,045,8045

0x8a6c31d620bc18980affc0b4e1b0b2cd1803fc59

~27d· 47 markets · 458 tradesVol: $464,3172026-08-04 19:42:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (9/46)0/20
0.20x (win $5,609 / loss $28,576)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9460/15
Sortino -4.8220/10
$-0.6666 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1514 (46 markets)4.9/10
4/21 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 1384% of peak ($24,756 / $1,789)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,872,523$-4,576Vol: $412,141
🏛️ POLITICS#1,611,990$-931Vol: $52,176

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,507
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$464,317
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
92B / 366S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
9W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-5,507
Win Rate
20%
9W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$623
Avg Loss
$-893

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,648 (0.8441067676791523% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$2,520
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$1,399
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$729
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$289
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$256
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$175
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$118
Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$82
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$40

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17,417
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-3,762
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-2,000
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,830
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-1,400
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-400
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-400
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-201
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-200
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-167

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.253
Sortino
-0.220
HHI
2397
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.501
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.2%
Top-5 markets
90.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 325s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)43.5%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 6:46:55 PM5 trades$8,9290 min
7/5/2026, 9:51:40 PM4 trades$7,7111 min
7/6/2026, 11:56:02 PM7 trades$5,3220 min
7/5/2026, 12:41:52 AM20 trades$4,7200 min
6/29/2026, 11:33:38 PM194 trades$4,1360 min
7/4/2026, 7:13:49 PM4 trades$4,1151 min
7/12/2026, 12:12:07 AM7 trades$3,2151 min
6/29/2026, 7:09:43 PM2 trades$3,0040 min
7/11/2026, 9:07:35 PM2 trades$2,9410 min
7/1/2026, 10:39:29 PM23 trades$2,7094 min
7/9/2026, 7:23:38 PM6 trades$2,0223 min
7/1/2026, 3:16:37 PM12 trades$2,0000 min
7/7/2026, 1:59:50 AM7 trades$1,7630 min
7/5/2026, 7:59:46 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
7/5/2026, 5:15:26 PM5 trades$1,4770 min
7/5/2026, 9:43:13 PM10 trades$1,2363 min
6/29/2026, 11:00:53 PM7 trades$1,2102 min
7/7/2026, 12:53:08 AM6 trades$1,0810 min
7/4/2026, 6:19:23 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/29/2026, 6:48:10 PM2 trades$9330 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
03-06
04-07
06-29
07-02
07-05
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.8 / M21.7 / H43.5