@NewManland

#201,75412

0x8a7ee073e89d921c57131bb8e95a07c4cc780c53

~42d· 93 markets · 385 tradesVol: $21,0172026-08-04 20:05:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (29/93)0.6/20
0.45x (win $226 / loss $504)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6210/15
Sortino -5.5630/10
$-0.0733 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 349 (93 markets)10/10
13/38 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($278 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+133
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#15,735$161Vol: $20,375
💰 FINANCE#395,048$-0Vol: $360
🏛️ POLITICS#1,162,841$-5Vol: $176
SPORTS#1,389,909$-13Vol: $106

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$142
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,017
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
219B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $633
Week
$17
Vol: $902
Month
$6
Vol: $1,094
All Time
$142
Vol: $21,017

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
29W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$133
Win Rate
32%
29W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127 (0.9588195437777609% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$60
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$9
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-104
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$-60
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-32
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.290
Sortino
-0.245
HHI
259
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
23.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1382s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.22
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)68.9%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 1:53:12 PM12 trades$4225 min
7/31/2026, 4:30:08 PM4 trades$3841 min
6/12/2026, 7:16:58 AM14 trades$3638 min
6/8/2026, 8:50:01 PM4 trades$3501 min
6/13/2026, 4:15:06 PM4 trades$3321 min
6/13/2026, 8:02:49 AM14 trades$3289 min
6/15/2026, 9:07:25 AM8 trades$22011 min
8/1/2026, 3:34:45 AM1 trades$1920 min
6/9/2026, 2:44:01 AM7 trades$1895 min
7/31/2026, 10:45:09 PM6 trades$1550 min
6/8/2026, 7:39:57 PM2 trades$1080 min
6/9/2026, 3:49:34 PM3 trades$1070 min
6/10/2026, 3:41:46 PM2 trades$1070 min
6/10/2026, 3:48:55 PM2 trades$1030 min
6/12/2026, 9:25:58 AM2 trades$1020 min
6/12/2026, 2:34:34 PM4 trades$1010 min
6/20/2026, 9:59:13 AM3 trades$950 min
6/12/2026, 2:21:22 PM1 trades$950 min
6/5/2026, 2:44:24 PM2 trades$890 min
7/24/2026, 2:20:22 PM1 trades$880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-10
06-16
06-22
06-30
07-21
08-02
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.7 / M7.3 / H68.9