toxicop

@toxicop

#2,905,29159

0x8aac1bf53a13efa2257f9d2efacd6c1b3f0b309a

~79d· 221 markets · 1251 tradesVol: $129,585 @0xZ3ros2026-08-04 15:05:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (173/217)20/20
1.12x (win $5,007 / loss $4,477)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5079.5/15
Sortino 0.7207.2/10
$+0.0089 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 315 (217 markets)10/10
35/56 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 95% of peak ($1,359 / $1,424)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$59,731 invested
Consistent
35/56 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#293,457$-316Vol: $45,617
🏛️ POLITICS#1,321,961$-14Vol: $43,663
🎭 CULTURE#808,047$-533Vol: $20,024
₿ CRYPTO#1,403,471$-56Vol: $14,080
⚽ SPORTS#129,659$87Vol: $4,342
💰 FINANCE#614,283$-41Vol: $1,199
📈 ECONOMICS#18,116$50Vol: $661

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-823
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$129,585
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
221
total markets
Trades
629B / 622S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$-28
Vol: $298
Week
$-51
Vol: $1,936
Month
$-39
Vol: $2,283
All Time
$-823
Vol: $129,585

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
173W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-823
Win Rate
80%
173W / 44L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-104

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,474 (3.0075858883026574% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$1,498
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$538
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$438
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$283
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$244
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$183
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$141
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$139
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$111
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$101

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,255
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$-762
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$-751
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 5?$-414
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-402
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-190
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-154
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$-86
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.026
HHI
407
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
36.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 432s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)88.7%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 10:24:06 AM2 trades$2,0570 min
4/26/2026, 4:08:24 PM18 trades$1,9453 min
6/1/2026, 4:37:39 AM2 trades$1,5530 min
5/31/2026, 6:57:38 AM1 trades$1,5230 min
6/1/2026, 3:03:12 AM8 trades$1,4940 min
6/8/2026, 5:49:28 AM1 trades$1,4700 min
6/19/2026, 7:05:02 AM32 trades$1,40121 min
6/20/2026, 4:10:28 AM4 trades$1,4001 min
6/21/2026, 5:21:55 AM1 trades$1,3770 min
5/16/2026, 3:32:35 AM2 trades$1,3170 min
5/8/2026, 2:59:55 PM26 trades$1,13610 min
5/17/2026, 6:13:21 PM6 trades$1,0081 min
6/8/2026, 12:48:40 AM2 trades$1,0010 min
4/26/2026, 8:41:50 AM10 trades$1,0003 min
6/8/2026, 4:37:18 AM1 trades$9350 min
5/1/2026, 4:25:08 AM3 trades$9330 min
5/15/2026, 11:34:07 AM2 trades$9160 min
4/28/2026, 6:38:16 AM2 trades$9150 min
5/17/2026, 1:03:59 PM5 trades$9080 min
6/5/2026, 3:27:33 PM25 trades$8760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-25
04-30
05-18
06-06
06-20
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.9 / M2.4 / H88.7