@0x8adBAA…0985

#2,835,55720

0x8adbaa30fc15398bd6542f76752d1f50a5499e1d

~26d· 93 markets · 471 tradesVol: $28,6802026-08-05 00:39:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (16/32)10/20
0.43x (win $143 / loss $334)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0330/15
Sortino -9.3440/10
$-0.0427 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 464 (32 markets)10/10
4/15 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($207 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#293,949$-344Vol: $19,088
🏛️ POLITICS#1,406,490$-26Vol: $3,964
⚽ SPORTS#1,443,590$-18Vol: $2,389
🎭 CULTURE#655,861$-6Vol: $1,301
📈 ECONOMICS#615,570$-15Vol: $659
💰 FINANCE#602,817$-25Vol: $413
₿ CRYPTO#907,484$-2Vol: $390
💻 TECH#190,366$-1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-451
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,680
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
290B / 181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $160
Week
$-23
Vol: $1,605
Month
$-36
Vol: $2,192
All Time
$-451
Vol: $28,680

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
16W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-451
Win Rate
50%
16W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $64 (0.14273993258825618% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?$31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?$14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 18?$14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?$8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 21?$6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?$5

Top Losers

Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$-71
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$-44
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?$-28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 18?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$-22
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$-19
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.507
Sortino
-0.590
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.235
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 387s — normal for humanCV 0.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)77.6%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 10:13:27 AM7 trades$1851 min
7/19/2026, 8:07:28 PM6 trades$1503 min
7/16/2026, 1:00:41 PM3 trades$1080 min
7/15/2026, 9:09:56 PM6 trades$1032 min
7/14/2026, 2:30:55 AM3 trades$1010 min
8/2/2026, 3:38:24 AM3 trades$980 min
8/3/2026, 7:14:35 AM3 trades$980 min
7/26/2026, 8:41:13 AM3 trades$960 min
7/31/2026, 8:30:09 PM3 trades$950 min
7/21/2026, 10:05:19 PM4 trades$940 min
7/22/2026, 8:35:16 PM3 trades$940 min
7/15/2026, 5:10:40 AM3 trades$930 min
7/26/2026, 2:39:36 PM3 trades$930 min
7/14/2026, 7:51:04 PM3 trades$910 min
7/14/2026, 9:39:22 PM3 trades$911 min
7/15/2026, 2:54:50 PM9 trades$897 min
7/21/2026, 10:34:49 PM4 trades$880 min
7/18/2026, 3:30:40 PM3 trades$860 min
7/29/2026, 8:59:23 AM5 trades$850 min
7/15/2026, 11:45:29 AM3 trades$850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
07-10
07-15
07-18
07-21
07-26
07-29
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
90.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M21.4 / H77.6