@xiaopand

#2,762,77637

0x8b26304af4564c1e0dd810426c81e82e769cacf8

~15d· 35 markets · 85 tradesVol: $11,5162026-08-04 19:58:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (24/34)20/20
0.04x (win $14 / loss $347)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1500/15
Sortino -5.8550/10
$-0.0767 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1108 (34 markets)7/10
11/15 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 20203% of peak ($343 / $2)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Consistent
11/15 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#111,771$3Vol: $6,054
SPORTS#1,762,227$-269Vol: $2,475
🏛️ POLITICS#1,139,806$-5Vol: $1,600
💰 FINANCE#93,941$3Vol: $1,277
CRYPTO#942,866$-2Vol: $78
🌤️ WEATHER#105,261$0Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,516
Total Redeem
$9
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
39B / 46S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-270
Vol: $11,516

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
24W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-270
Win Rate
71%
24W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-87

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (0.032185185185185185% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$3
Pistons vs. Magic$2
La Salle Explorers vs. Army Black Knights (W)$2
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0

Top Losers

Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave$-272
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-2
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.311
Sortino
-0.158
HHI
1205
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.5%
Top-5 markets
61.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1225s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)94.9%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 3:53:15 PM3 trades$8650 min
3/6/2026, 3:55:25 PM4 trades$8339 min
7/24/2026, 4:01:31 PM4 trades$6062 min
7/24/2026, 4:23:40 PM10 trades$3900 min
3/6/2026, 2:37:51 PM2 trades$3271 min
3/6/2026, 11:07:27 AM1 trades$3210 min
3/8/2026, 1:32:55 PM1 trades$2730 min
3/8/2026, 1:44:43 PM1 trades$2720 min
3/8/2026, 6:37:59 AM1 trades$2550 min
3/7/2026, 1:28:57 PM2 trades$2543 min
3/7/2026, 9:07:23 AM1 trades$2520 min
3/8/2026, 3:24:13 PM1 trades$2390 min
3/6/2026, 12:33:39 PM1 trades$1990 min
3/7/2026, 9:14:09 AM2 trades$1984 min
3/7/2026, 5:46:45 AM1 trades$1960 min
7/25/2026, 4:14:58 AM2 trades$1960 min
3/7/2026, 10:55:25 PM1 trades$1920 min
3/8/2026, 5:25:01 AM1 trades$1750 min
3/7/2026, 12:00:33 PM1 trades$1700 min
3/8/2026, 12:24:15 AM2 trades$1230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-07
03-09
03-25
04-02
06-12
07-23
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M5.1 / H94.9