@Beresforde

#252,43296

0x8b47c3cff3a389dcd4f1c399a8723cbebe8a5d3f

~16d· 27 markets · 89 tradesVol: $20,4022026-08-04 23:35:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (16/19)20/20
19.34x (win $2,061 / loss $107)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.05415/15
Sortino 109.93110/10
$+0.1460 per $1 invested7.3/10
HHI 738 (19 markets)8.8/10
9/11 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($102 / $1,955)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+91
Consistent
9/11 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,332,543$-15Vol: $15,426
SPORTS#142,357$71Vol: $4,096
💰 FINANCE#396,618$-0Vol: $380

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$91
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,402
Total Redeem
$1,021
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
48B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$91
Vol: $20,402

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
16W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$91
Win Rate
84%
16W / 3L
Profit Factor
19.34x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,674 (18.445411479563735% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,490
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?$96
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 1.5$88
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$83
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: struggletony (-3.5) vs MASONIC (+3.5)$70
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)$66
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?$31
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$29
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$27
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)$25

Top Losers

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$-52
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)$-50
Spread: Lithuania (-2.5)$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.402
Sortino
2.526
HHI
367
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.214
Kelly %
1.5%
Half-Kelly
0.8%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
36.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 510s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)79.2%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 5:45:47 AM6 trades$1,0205 min
6/13/2026, 8:58:00 AM2 trades$5500 min
6/13/2026, 6:12:28 AM2 trades$5350 min
5/14/2026, 6:36:06 AM2 trades$5150 min
5/14/2026, 7:11:03 AM2 trades$5150 min
5/14/2026, 7:04:17 AM1 trades$5050 min
6/13/2026, 8:32:28 AM1 trades$5030 min
6/12/2026, 8:32:21 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/7/2026, 6:43:47 AM2 trades$4900 min
6/12/2026, 6:39:07 AM2 trades$4900 min
5/7/2026, 6:35:11 AM4 trades$4893 min
5/7/2026, 6:04:56 AM2 trades$4880 min
4/25/2026, 7:20:38 AM2 trades$4720 min
7/18/2026, 2:56:48 AM2 trades$4670 min
6/12/2026, 8:25:22 AM1 trades$4660 min
7/18/2026, 1:13:37 AM2 trades$4650 min
7/11/2026, 1:33:31 AM2 trades$4550 min
4/25/2026, 5:53:36 AM2 trades$4500 min
6/27/2026, 2:36:08 AM2 trades$4500 min
7/18/2026, 3:26:10 AM1 trades$4390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
03-31
04-02
04-11
04-25
05-07
05-12
05-14
06-01
06-12
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M8.3 / H79.2