saving-for-japan-trip

@saving-for-japan-trip

#48,91769

0x8b5de720a9699ac39e888ad9bd06c7fec1be57d3

~125d· 653 markets · 5246 tradesVol: $129,3752026-08-04 15:02:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (265/652)5.3/20
1.25x (win $15,855 / loss $12,657)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.63215/15
Sortino 6.46010/10
$+0.1487 per $1 invested7.4/10
HHI 37 (652 markets)10/10
63/120 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($380 / $3,261)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,157
Contrarian
89% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#839$2,313Vol: $123,943
CRYPTO#1,071,760$-6Vol: $212
🏛️ POLITICS#114,383$29Vol: $179
📢 MENTIONS#33,517$2Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,172
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$129,375
Total Redeem
$99
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
653
total markets
Trades
3386B / 1860S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $547
Week
$-61
Vol: $2,803
Month
$-61
Vol: $3,687
All Time
$2,172
Vol: $129,375

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
265W / 387L events
Realized PnL
$2,157
Win Rate
41%
265W / 387L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,211 (0.5613165557018601% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 2?$534
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?$353
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?$324
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 29?$272
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 30?$272
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?$238
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$235
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?$224
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?$214
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 25?$213

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 2?$-243
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 1?$-186
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$-167
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?$-161
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?$-145
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$-144
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?$-140
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?$-137
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?$-128
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?$-127

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.189
Sortino
0.287
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.149
Kelly %
0.6%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.8m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)80.5%
High (>55c)11%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 7:28:52 AM87 trades$1,64717 min
6/17/2026, 10:39:32 PM72 trades$78524 min
4/29/2026, 6:50:32 AM69 trades$63517 min
4/27/2026, 4:07:56 PM24 trades$63413 min
6/15/2026, 10:12:34 AM64 trades$62418 min
6/6/2026, 8:32:10 PM40 trades$5344 min
6/16/2026, 9:17:05 PM25 trades$5006 min
6/18/2026, 8:15:08 AM32 trades$4707 min
4/29/2026, 4:15:22 PM10 trades$4424 min
5/14/2026, 11:31:44 AM18 trades$4308 min
4/26/2026, 6:07:42 PM21 trades$40413 min
6/12/2026, 9:40:37 AM44 trades$40120 min
6/16/2026, 8:50:21 AM43 trades$40022 min
6/11/2026, 8:11:15 AM41 trades$39518 min
6/9/2026, 8:17:06 PM43 trades$38813 min
5/13/2026, 6:14:44 AM37 trades$3787 min
5/8/2026, 4:57:17 PM37 trades$37319 min
4/30/2026, 8:20:26 PM6 trades$3710 min
6/13/2026, 5:33:09 PM48 trades$36624 min
8/3/2026, 6:39:32 AM40 trades$36510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-14
03-07
03-28
05-04
06-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.04/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.5 / M80.5 / H11