telum

@telum

#162,49435

0x8b92f7f504655ab6b81ed24cda24bd4ac5ec1761

~26d· 35 markets · 766 tradesVol: $172,3762026-08-04 17:21:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (20/32)16.2/20
0.38x (win $21,214 / loss $55,120)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0400/15
Sortino -3.0960/10
$-0.4864 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 727 (32 markets)8.9/10
13/18 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 318% of peak ($49,473 / $15,568)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+235
DCA Master
Avg 18.7 entries/market
Whale
$69,709 invested
Consistent
13/18 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#40,869$235Vol: $172,170
🌤️ WEATHER#37,650$3Vol: $104
🎭 CULTURE#615,819$-3Vol: $102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$235
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$172,376
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
214B / 552S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$235
Vol: $172,376

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
20W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$235
Win Rate
63%
20W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$1,061
Avg Loss
$-5,011

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,750 (62.80146464001363% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$8,613
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$3,480
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$2,658
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$2,556
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?$971
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$819
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$617
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?$571
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?$502
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$217

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?$-14,302
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?$-10,360
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$-10,217
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$-9,094
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$-3,235
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?$-2,647
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?$-2,409
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$-1,630
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?$-906
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$-318

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.155
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
616
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.525
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
48.3m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)81.3%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 2:43:48 PM365 trades$38,6751 min
3/21/2026, 2:24:15 PM48 trades$27,8005 min
2/25/2026, 7:17:22 PM19 trades$26,1914 min
5/26/2026, 2:52:12 PM22 trades$10,0902 min
5/20/2026, 9:00:56 PM48 trades$7,3643 min
3/4/2026, 4:02:25 PM5 trades$3,9710 min
5/13/2026, 6:39:06 PM25 trades$3,2411 min
3/4/2026, 3:26:33 PM5 trades$3,0000 min
5/20/2026, 9:10:00 PM28 trades$2,8542 min
2/28/2026, 4:14:05 PM6 trades$2,5650 min
4/24/2026, 2:36:56 PM28 trades$2,4750 min
2/20/2026, 7:38:26 PM2 trades$2,1261 min
6/8/2026, 10:43:51 AM21 trades$1,8510 min
6/6/2026, 6:07:12 AM30 trades$1,8501 min
2/20/2026, 7:31:52 PM1 trades$1,5070 min
3/24/2026, 4:34:05 PM17 trades$5741 min
7/12/2026, 8:20:31 AM22 trades$4530 min
5/31/2026, 7:17:39 PM2 trades$4490 min
6/8/2026, 2:03:28 PM8 trades$4070 min
5/5/2026, 8:28:40 PM9 trades$1890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-21
02-25
03-04
04-24
05-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M13.1 / H81.3