PredictaDamus

@PredictaDamus

#1,49472

0x8bd8c81803ce2c7e884cc18406d92829d5c4f306

~213d· 1087 markets · 13267 tradesVol: $3,577,041 @PredictaDamusX2026-08-04 23:03:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (580/1083)11.8/20
1.24x (win $585,458 / loss $473,419)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.55615/15
Sortino 4.41710/10
$+0.0902 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 34 (1083 markets)10/10
107/199 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($36,272 / $148,202)9.1/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+132,562
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,242,082 invested
High Roller
$4,059/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#622$138,652Vol: $3,302,453
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,009$-7,141Vol: $145,320
💻 TECH#1,987$598Vol: $114,984
💰 FINANCE#9,377$314Vol: $6,251
CRYPTO#75,730$146Vol: $5,936
🎭 CULTURE#100,332$4Vol: $2,085
📈 ECONOMICS#599,232$-10Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$132,562
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,577,041
Total Redeem
$31,089
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1087
total markets
Trades
11009B / 2258S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~213d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$132,562
Vol: $3,577,041

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
580W / 503L events
Realized PnL
$132,562
Win Rate
54%
580W / 503L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$1,009
Avg Loss
$-956

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,260 (0.21318259853602287% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rangers vs. Red Wings$10,000
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?$9,360
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?$8,900
Lightning vs. Sabres$8,560
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$8,550
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?$7,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$6,894
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?$6,700
Blues vs. Senators$6,100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?$6,045

Top Losers

Devils vs. Capitals$-5,800
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?$-5,650
Utah vs. Sharks$-5,600
Penguins vs. Flyers$-5,400
Islanders vs. Red Wings$-5,400
Stars vs. Rangers$-5,300
Stars vs. Canadiens$-5,200
Islanders vs. Devils$-4,900
Kings vs. Capitals$-4,900
Senators vs. Canadiens$-4,800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.133
Sortino
0.213
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.092
Kelly %
7.4%
Half-Kelly
3.7%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
43.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.5m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 3.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock43 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)59.8%
High (>55c)33.9%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 9:00:17 PM23 trades$16,4007 min
1/27/2026, 4:36:29 PM17 trades$11,03624 min
12/23/2025, 11:54:17 PM23 trades$11,02917 min
2/5/2026, 3:09:55 PM5 trades$10,0003 min
1/1/2026, 4:21:13 PM2 trades$9,9074 min
12/1/2025, 11:20:40 PM2 trades$9,5003 min
3/22/2026, 12:23:01 AM2 trades$9,2502 min
3/23/2026, 12:37:27 AM39 trades$9,2309 min
1/7/2026, 3:18:17 AM1 trades$9,2000 min
1/10/2026, 8:43:26 PM2 trades$8,4860 min
4/6/2026, 1:16:33 PM2 trades$8,3200 min
4/9/2026, 2:28:29 PM67 trades$8,13739 min
1/8/2026, 12:35:11 PM2 trades$7,8970 min
1/29/2026, 3:52:22 PM22 trades$7,87816 min
6/21/2026, 12:57:35 AM44 trades$7,64420 min
2/14/2026, 1:28:03 PM21 trades$7,59416 min
4/11/2026, 9:20:11 AM14 trades$7,4543 min
4/9/2026, 3:46:15 PM14 trades$7,40613 min
4/9/2026, 4:53:57 PM63 trades$7,17819 min
2/4/2026, 3:33:25 PM5 trades$7,1405 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-17
10-26
12-07
01-17
03-01
04-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.42/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.3 / M59.8 / H33.9