@Fearne

#96,11952

0x8bec813b6e725e79f591558813dff1b3d1e3ad9e

~9d· 16 markets · 83 tradesVol: $24,0232026-08-05 01:19:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (3/8)3.8/20
1.72x (win $952 / loss $555)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.04515/15
Sortino 10.25410/10
$+0.1399 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 2432 (8 markets)0.3/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($359 / $756)4.5/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+730
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#172,022$10Vol: $19,869
SPORTS#1,736,332$-192Vol: $3,204

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$730
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,023
Total Redeem
$312
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
55B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
3W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$730
Win Rate
38%
3W / 5L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$317
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $952 (1.3053256221905494% of PnL)

Top Winners

Game 1: Any Player Rampage?$912
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$32
Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)$8

Top Losers

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?$-202
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?$-157
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)$-80
Spread: Armenia (-2.5)$-80
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.147
Sortino
0.739
HHI
1176
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.236
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.7%
Top-5 markets
53.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.7m
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 7:26:16 AM6 trades$1,0285 min
6/6/2026, 7:48:24 AM4 trades$1,0001 min
6/2/2026, 3:34:35 AM4 trades$9980 min
7/21/2026, 6:18:43 AM4 trades$9100 min
7/7/2026, 6:21:31 AM4 trades$9040 min
4/25/2026, 5:54:04 AM6 trades$8991 min
6/24/2026, 6:44:32 AM4 trades$8200 min
7/7/2026, 3:13:23 AM7 trades$8161 min
6/24/2026, 3:29:32 AM4 trades$8100 min
6/17/2026, 8:11:46 AM4 trades$5300 min
4/10/2026, 8:00:25 AM4 trades$3140 min
4/10/2026, 11:00:57 AM2 trades$3120 min
4/10/2026, 9:59:51 AM1 trades$3060 min
6/2/2026, 4:41:26 AM2 trades$800 min
6/6/2026, 7:54:31 AM2 trades$800 min
6/2/2026, 3:12:33 AM4 trades$802 min
6/6/2026, 7:00:45 AM2 trades$785 min
6/24/2026, 5:49:37 AM2 trades$671 min
6/24/2026, 2:25:19 AM2 trades$651 min
7/21/2026, 3:22:43 AM2 trades$640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-25
06-02
06-06
06-10
06-24
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.88/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.4 / M0 / H43.6