@ittailup

#2,856,1520

0x8c09a45dc730f25d9e940809c97fdc8da09ce652

~13d· 18 markets · 396 tradesVol: $53,9212026-08-04 20:09:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (3/14)0/20
0.21x (win $448 / loss $2,186)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.8460/15
Sortino -8.2330/10
$-0.6046 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3089 (14 markets)0/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 3263% of peak ($1,983 / $61)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#278,195$-58Vol: $39,669
⚽ SPORTS#1,770,993$-306Vol: $8,570
🏛️ POLITICS#1,568,545$-227Vol: $4,078
💰 FINANCE#469,604$-1Vol: $892
💻 TECH#7,362$68Vol: $712

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-525
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,921
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
49B / 347S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $0
All Time
$-525
Vol: $53,921

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
3W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-525
Win Rate
21%
3W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$149
Avg Loss
$-199

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $448 (0.8545024960938987% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$205
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 26?$202
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?$42

Top Losers

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,012
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-438
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?$-220
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?$-140
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-122
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-113
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-61
NBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion?$-40
Knicks vs. Spurs$-20
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.442
Sortino
-0.430
HHI
4857
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.486
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.7%
Top-5 markets
111.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 264s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.7%
Mid (20-55c)34.7%
High (>55c)30.6%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 2:25:38 PM251 trades$41,1831 min
4/16/2026, 2:40:56 PM2 trades$2,5940 min
4/16/2026, 1:58:38 PM18 trades$1,6932 min
4/14/2026, 2:57:27 PM11 trades$1,4325 min
4/29/2026, 2:28:40 PM2 trades$8930 min
7/30/2026, 11:08:26 PM17 trades$8290 min
4/25/2026, 8:19:00 PM2 trades$7320 min
5/29/2026, 5:27:53 PM5 trades$3601 min
4/26/2026, 5:57:16 PM17 trades$3330 min
6/8/2026, 4:39:55 AM2 trades$3030 min
6/9/2026, 5:23:34 PM5 trades$2780 min
6/23/2026, 4:56:59 PM8 trades$1644 min
6/8/2026, 7:29:24 PM2 trades$1180 min
6/4/2026, 2:51:40 AM3 trades$1060 min
6/23/2026, 4:07:53 PM2 trades$1060 min
4/14/2026, 2:48:49 PM11 trades$952 min
4/25/2026, 7:34:14 PM9 trades$792 min
4/26/2026, 12:42:12 AM12 trades$740 min
4/25/2026, 8:24:54 PM5 trades$730 min
6/4/2026, 2:44:01 AM4 trades$672 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-14
04-16
04-25
04-26
04-27
04-29
06-04
06-08
06-09
06-23
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
28.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
87.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.64/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.7 / M34.7 / H30.6