Winifrad

@Winifrad

#1,432,95310

0x8c45e8a7e9b42e165d2fb50a8950c316b89d675a

~14d· 81 markets · 228 tradesVol: $6772026-08-04 23:28:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (20/79)0/20
0.38x (win $1 / loss $4)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.1020/15
Sortino -7.7530/10
$-0.0054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 253 (79 markets)10/10
1/13 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2 / $0)0/10

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#475,112$-1Vol: $156
🏛️ POLITICS#870,599$-1Vol: $137
₿ CRYPTO#758,173$-0Vol: $133
🎭 CULTURE#415,496$-0Vol: $113
⚽ SPORTS#694,699$-0Vol: $59
📈 ECONOMICS#290,331$-0Vol: $42
💻 TECH#99,383$0Vol: $24
🌤️ WEATHER#153,915$-0Vol: $12
📢 MENTIONS#61,843$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$677
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
91B / 137S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $677

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
20W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
25%
20W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.38116591928251126% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$1
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$0
Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?$0
Will "Jennifer's Body" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$0
Iran leadership change by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?$-0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?$-0
Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-0
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?$-0
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?$-0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on March 9?$-0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 9?$-0
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.407
Sortino
-0.419
HHI
301
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
26.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 0.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97.8%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 5:03:46 AM30 trades$13010 min
3/9/2026, 9:33:29 AM15 trades$7913 min
9/5/2025, 6:48:06 PM24 trades$777 min
4/7/2026, 1:25:57 PM18 trades$748 min
1/23/2026, 3:36:16 PM18 trades$7020 min
5/18/2026, 11:19:38 AM26 trades$6511 min
11/7/2025, 6:27:33 PM23 trades$3415 min
3/28/2026, 4:54:53 AM3 trades$311 min
10/26/2025, 12:11:27 PM15 trades$237 min
2/25/2026, 5:05:44 PM3 trades$181 min
2/25/2026, 5:53:36 PM6 trades$163 min
12/14/2025, 7:59:09 AM19 trades$1420 min
2/25/2026, 5:12:12 PM2 trades$121 min
1/23/2026, 12:29:26 PM1 trades$100 min
1/23/2026, 12:34:58 PM1 trades$80 min
1/23/2025, 2:44:21 AM9 trades$77 min
1/23/2026, 3:27:08 PM1 trades$60 min
1/23/2026, 4:19:40 PM2 trades$35 min
1/23/2026, 4:03:08 PM1 trades$20 min
2/18/2025, 6:00:47 PM4 trades$21 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
09-05
11-07
01-23
03-09
04-07
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M0 / H97.8