@afd0

#121,99594

0x8c7c724d3ab3c7070f53958f7a493f19cb14d042

~48d· 50 markets · 148 tradesVol: $14,4162026-08-04 21:51:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (47/49)20/20
46.00x (win $615 / loss $13)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 14.91015/15
Sortino 216.27910/10
$+0.0905 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 521 (49 markets)9.9/10
33/35 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($9 / $602)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+446
Consistent
33/35 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#54,268$298Vol: $10,134
🏛️ POLITICS#86,676$55Vol: $1,280
⚽ SPORTS#249,144$15Vol: $710
📈 ECONOMICS#27,106$23Vol: $634
📢 MENTIONS#18,341$12Vol: $407
💰 FINANCE#45,933$15Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$446
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,416
Total Redeem
$380
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
79B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $0
All Time
$446
Vol: $14,416

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
47W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$446
Win Rate
96%
47W / 2L
Profit Factor
46x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $216 (0.4850265820229255% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$88
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$68
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?$60
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$58
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$28
Will Ukraine agree to Trump nuclear plant deal before July?$27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$25
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April?$24
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$18

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$-9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.769
Sortino
inf
HHI
591
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.079
Kelly %
68.7%
Half-Kelly
34.3%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
41.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 752s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)94.9%

Sessions

#12
3/23/2025, 10:28:15 AM1 trades$7200 min
3/13/2025, 1:09:47 PM1 trades$6800 min
4/30/2025, 4:48:11 AM2 trades$6581 min
4/28/2025, 4:19:01 AM2 trades$6071 min
6/22/2026, 8:46:37 PM4 trades$6001 min
4/6/2025, 6:57:52 PM2 trades$4870 min
6/16/2026, 12:01:31 AM6 trades$4782 min
11/3/2025, 6:23:57 AM1 trades$3810 min
12/4/2025, 2:28:03 AM2 trades$3040 min
2/17/2026, 3:30:17 PM1 trades$2920 min
4/29/2026, 2:02:16 PM8 trades$2711 min
12/6/2025, 3:04:29 AM6 trades$26411 min
4/29/2026, 3:53:30 PM2 trades$2400 min
3/31/2025, 6:14:39 PM1 trades$2350 min
12/1/2025, 12:09:20 PM1 trades$2230 min
12/1/2025, 10:09:44 AM3 trades$2223 min
6/24/2026, 4:16:01 PM6 trades$2122 min
12/18/2025, 6:47:47 PM4 trades$2102 min
6/14/2026, 11:45:04 PM3 trades$2000 min
4/30/2026, 8:32:36 PM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-31
09-25
12-04
12-18
02-17
05-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M1.3 / H94.9