Semingur

@Semingur

#23,01491

0x8ca91b7864941aa720c7eea8241f8d851ae2f466

~83d· 222 markets · 643 tradesVol: $31,3292026-08-04 19:18:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (118/221)11.7/20
2.91x (win $7,801 / loss $2,685)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.98015/15
Sortino 15.86510/10
$+0.7331 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 186 (221 markets)10/10
49/75 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($650 / $5,212)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+5,640
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Consistent
49/75 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#972$5,638Vol: $30,987
🏛️ POLITICS#87,969$53Vol: $100
🎭 CULTURE#738,406$-27Vol: $100
⚽ SPORTS#1,595,294$-50Vol: $95

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,640
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,329
Total Redeem
$1,469
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
317B / 326S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-55
Vol: $0
Week
$-140
Vol: $1,037
Month
$-31
Vol: $1,057
All Time
$5,640
Vol: $31,329

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
118W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$5,640
Win Rate
53%
118W / 103L
Profit Factor
2.91x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,217 (0.21577777226195582% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in June?$426
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of May 11 2026?$424
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in May?$367
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 11 2026?$361
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of May 11 2026?$352
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?$304
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of June 22 2026?$301
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026?$240
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of June 15 2026?$224
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of June 15 2026?$220

Top Losers

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$-650
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of April 27 2026?$-156
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of May 11 2026?$-117
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $217.50 Week of May 11 2026?$-116
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 20 2026?$-71
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in July?$-70
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?$-68
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 11 2026?$-58
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 27 2026?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.311
Sortino
0.477
HHI
131
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.731
Kelly %
6.7%
Half-Kelly
3.3%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
37.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2266s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)55.5%
High (>55c)36%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 2:19:39 PM4 trades$1,4000 min
5/14/2026, 7:34:09 PM10 trades$5006 min
5/11/2026, 8:01:36 AM12 trades$34213 min
5/10/2026, 11:33:44 AM16 trades$2565 min
5/11/2026, 7:24:28 AM2 trades$2500 min
5/19/2026, 9:57:35 PM4 trades$2502 min
7/20/2026, 11:37:46 AM5 trades$2461 min
5/11/2026, 1:12:57 PM6 trades$2463 min
6/11/2026, 8:02:01 AM6 trades$2401 min
6/25/2026, 8:48:47 AM4 trades$2390 min
4/28/2026, 7:00:20 PM4 trades$2304 min
4/30/2026, 10:55:36 PM4 trades$2004 min
5/14/2026, 5:41:25 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/14/2026, 6:27:09 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/14/2026, 7:19:03 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/3/2026, 3:59:49 PM5 trades$2001 min
6/16/2026, 2:38:25 PM2 trades$2000 min
12/15/2025, 9:07:53 PM1 trades$2000 min
4/27/2026, 3:53:08 PM10 trades$19010 min
5/19/2026, 9:19:42 PM2 trades$1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
04-07
04-30
05-14
06-09
06-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.5 / M55.5 / H36