@0x8cd7…fc41

39

0x8cd7e0d8da2f886c2e8464e84db5ee7e3c96fc41

~61d· 70 markets · 104 trades2026-08-05 00:11:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (47/70)18.6/20
0.14x (win $6 / loss $45)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8240/15
Sortino -3.7530/10
$-0.0076 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 224 (70 markets)10/10
42/53 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 10512% of peak ($44 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Consistent
42/53 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,171
Total Redeem
$2,938
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
78B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
47W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-39
Win Rate
67%
47W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.0239628961607833% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 10?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?$0
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 2?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?$0

Top Losers

Manchester City wins the Premier League?$-25
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-8
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?$-3
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$-1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-1
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3764s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.49
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)87.2%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 7:15:01 PM2 trades$2240 min
4/1/2026, 5:09:01 PM2 trades$2220 min
8/1/2026, 1:01:35 PM2 trades$1140 min
7/9/2026, 4:46:52 PM2 trades$1140 min
7/25/2026, 1:38:40 AM1 trades$1140 min
7/3/2026, 9:10:11 AM1 trades$1140 min
6/29/2026, 9:33:08 PM1 trades$1140 min
2/25/2026, 2:55:34 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/23/2026, 7:16:54 PM1 trades$1130 min
6/26/2026, 8:02:14 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/19/2026, 6:35:06 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/18/2026, 7:45:14 PM1 trades$1130 min
6/24/2026, 8:30:50 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/17/2026, 8:13:11 PM1 trades$1130 min
6/24/2026, 12:25:10 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/16/2026, 7:39:11 PM1 trades$1130 min
6/22/2026, 8:19:35 PM1 trades$1130 min
2/15/2026, 8:31:13 PM1 trades$1130 min
6/18/2026, 3:06:10 PM2 trades$1130 min
2/14/2026, 7:50:21 PM1 trades$1130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
04-27
02-15
03-03
03-30
06-08
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 374 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M5.1 / H87.2