@0x8d69…1452

7

0x8d6986025a84636495c7cc6f546c3ffd24341452

~20d· 40 markets · 145 trades2026-08-05 00:13:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (15/38)4.7/20
0.68x (win $45 / loss $65)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5490/15
Sortino -4.4300/10
$-0.1283 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4652 (38 markets)0/10
7/18 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 201% of peak ($41 / $20)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-36
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
68B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
15W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-36
Win Rate
39%
15W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37 (1.0227588121010267% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22?$29
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$4
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$1
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?$-12
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-10
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-8
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-21?$-7
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-17?$-5
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-4
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?$-4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-4
Exact Score: Henan FC 2 - 0 Qingdao Hainiu FC?$-4
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.279
HHI
1727
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.9%
Top-5 markets
82.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10289s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.84
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)61.8%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 9:22:59 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/10/2026, 5:57:46 AM4 trades$360 min
6/23/2026, 2:24:28 AM2 trades$240 min
6/17/2026, 6:24:02 AM4 trades$204 min
7/17/2026, 10:48:30 AM2 trades$170 min
6/24/2026, 5:07:56 PM4 trades$170 min
7/12/2026, 8:25:04 AM5 trades$160 min
6/24/2026, 8:52:52 AM4 trades$152 min
7/10/2026, 8:03:31 AM2 trades$150 min
6/17/2026, 5:04:23 AM3 trades$150 min
6/10/2026, 12:48:03 AM2 trades$120 min
6/22/2026, 8:37:23 PM2 trades$120 min
7/3/2026, 9:09:58 PM2 trades$110 min
6/16/2026, 11:18:16 PM3 trades$100 min
6/10/2026, 2:02:51 PM2 trades$100 min
6/10/2026, 2:11:10 PM2 trades$100 min
6/16/2026, 10:40:40 AM2 trades$100 min
6/4/2026, 7:42:19 AM4 trades$92 min
6/23/2026, 5:30:08 AM8 trades$85 min
6/24/2026, 8:41:17 PM2 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-10
06-22
06-26
07-10
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M19.1 / H61.8