@0x8d6b6c…8899

#2,271,45851

0x8d6b6c696354383cfe5f2840baab2ae1e859e23c

~23d· 50 markets · 172 tradesVol: $3,6102026-08-04 22:44:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (11/39)0/20
1.59x (win $276 / loss $173)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.15215/15
Sortino 11.76210/10
$+0.1286 per $1 invested6.4/10
HHI 667 (39 markets)9.2/10
6/18 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($74 / $103)0/10

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,319,812$-29Vol: $1,461
🌤️ WEATHER#184,000$-1Vol: $467
💰 FINANCE#56,782$10Vol: $378
📈 ECONOMICS#619,048$-16Vol: $376
🏛️ POLITICS#122,205$25Vol: $305
⚽ SPORTS#1,349,949$-10Vol: $299
💻 TECH#236,714$-22Vol: $172
🎭 CULTURE#76,162$8Vol: $64
📢 MENTIONS#134,727$-13Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,610
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
82B / 90S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-38
Vol: $3,610

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
11W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
28%
11W / 28L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200 (5.287754562285109% of PnL)

Top Winners

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$97
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?$82
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?$21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?$12
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$11
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$10
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?$3

Top Losers

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?$-30
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$-12
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-8
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$-6
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$-5
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?$-5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.160
Sortino
0.673
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
23.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1360s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 9:32:56 AM9 trades$2622 min
7/10/2026, 2:50:43 PM3 trades$1660 min
7/15/2026, 1:07:50 PM2 trades$1660 min
6/19/2026, 3:12:11 PM2 trades$1250 min
6/20/2026, 2:50:35 PM19 trades$1191 min
6/9/2026, 3:14:58 PM5 trades$910 min
6/9/2026, 4:00:27 PM2 trades$830 min
6/19/2026, 8:51:01 AM6 trades$533 min
7/2/2026, 11:25:58 AM2 trades$440 min
6/27/2026, 2:00:35 PM2 trades$430 min
6/27/2026, 12:52:46 PM6 trades$415 min
6/20/2026, 4:04:52 PM5 trades$390 min
6/18/2026, 2:49:04 AM2 trades$330 min
7/10/2026, 3:01:25 PM7 trades$313 min
6/9/2026, 4:30:45 PM2 trades$310 min
6/19/2026, 7:37:04 AM3 trades$310 min
6/20/2026, 8:04:05 AM2 trades$280 min
6/20/2026, 11:56:14 AM2 trades$270 min
6/26/2026, 12:53:56 PM5 trades$270 min
6/19/2026, 9:05:40 AM2 trades$270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-03
01-24
06-18
06-23
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.3 / M20.7 / H50