@randomguessbot
#390,204130x8d97b8adc9815e7612fc1febe358ed2f29d19c26
~46d· 267 markets · 1263 tradesVol: $30,2292026-08-08 00:34:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (80/256)0.6/20
0.73x (win $1,955 / loss $2,674)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7520/15
Sortino -3.0690/10
$-0.1730 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 353 (256 markets)10/10
17/43 profitable days (40%)2.4/10
Max DD 6508% of peak ($1,601 / $25)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+26
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Categories
3⚽ SPORTS#147,541$65Vol: $16,887
🌤️ WEATHER#272,789$-38Vol: $7,559
💻 TECH#85,549$0Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,229
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
267
total markets
Trades
894B / 369S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d
Periods
#2Today
$13
Vol: $879
Week
$22
Vol: $5,469
Month
$24
Vol: $5,469
All Time
$26
Vol: $30,229
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
80W / 176L events
Realized PnL
$26
Win Rate
31%
80W / 176L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,342 (52.513894324853226% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$989
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$212
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$141
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?$22
Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$20
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-232
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-218
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-216
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-156
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-142
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-136
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-126
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-106
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-101
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
245
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.165
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
26.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
18.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.6m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 598s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active4.0 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)18.5%
Mid (20-55c)24.5%
High (>55c)57%
Sessions
#126/21/2026, 6:05:56 AM4 trades$6130 min
6/21/2026, 1:50:40 AM13 trades$5174 min
7/3/2026, 12:20:58 PM8 trades$4250 min
6/23/2026, 11:22:28 PM8 trades$3513 min
6/23/2026, 4:03:35 AM6 trades$2707 min
6/21/2026, 5:43:13 AM7 trades$2661 min
6/24/2026, 3:36:34 AM15 trades$2634 min
6/23/2026, 3:36:10 AM9 trades$2558 min
7/5/2026, 5:42:25 PM5 trades$2500 min
7/4/2026, 3:26:25 PM7 trades$2280 min
6/20/2026, 8:43:59 PM8 trades$21710 min
6/20/2026, 3:01:20 AM11 trades$1986 min
6/19/2026, 11:50:25 PM5 trades$1670 min
7/4/2026, 4:11:08 PM7 trades$1590 min
6/18/2026, 12:55:55 AM8 trades$1503 min
6/22/2026, 2:28:52 AM5 trades$1432 min
6/23/2026, 9:38:08 AM3 trades$1300 min
6/23/2026, 5:01:28 AM4 trades$1200 min
7/4/2026, 11:47:08 AM4 trades$1200 min
6/21/2026, 8:20:44 PM3 trades$1080 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-15
06-22
07-01
07-08
07-29
08-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.5 / M24.5 / H57