@0x8De51f…8565

#2,918,09358

0x8de51fa1e2b768d4ef57376564284c8753b484d7

~32d· 48 markets · 345 tradesVol: $37,3062026-08-05 15:51:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (27/48)13.1/20
1.23x (win $1,669 / loss $1,357)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.88215/15
Sortino 1.95710/10
$+0.0493 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 1028 (48 markets)7.4/10
11/23 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 338% of peak ($1,054 / $312)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#651,791$-616Vol: $24,348
💻 TECH#254,893$-302Vol: $9,496
🎭 CULTURE#44,813$25Vol: $2,116
🏛️ POLITICS#1,294,706$-11Vol: $801
⚽ SPORTS#1,477,802$-22Vol: $300
₿ CRYPTO#838,436$-1Vol: $245

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-927
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,306
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
118B / 227S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$19
Vol: $0
All Time
$-927
Vol: $37,306

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
27W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-927
Win Rate
56%
27W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,373 (1.480810912816089% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1,028
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$226
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$120
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$85
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$71
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$45
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?$26
Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?$11
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10

Top Losers

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$-311
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?$-259
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$-195
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?$-132
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$-100
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$-100
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$-67
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-52
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$-42
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.045
Sortino
0.081
HHI
1035
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.9%
Top-5 markets
59.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 2.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)39%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 6:14:49 AM18 trades$1,9383 min
6/9/2026, 4:28:58 PM62 trades$1,8662 min
7/13/2026, 3:45:10 PM11 trades$1,1021 min
6/25/2026, 5:40:43 PM30 trades$1,0323 min
7/15/2026, 2:33:50 PM20 trades$9973 min
6/25/2026, 5:51:31 PM9 trades$6420 min
1/28/2026, 8:24:29 AM3 trades$5772 min
7/11/2026, 2:25:49 AM17 trades$5351 min
1/29/2026, 5:11:40 AM1 trades$5000 min
1/29/2026, 1:55:22 AM1 trades$4900 min
6/9/2026, 5:18:43 PM43 trades$40024 min
2/11/2026, 12:07:13 PM4 trades$3494 min
6/24/2026, 1:01:56 PM12 trades$2910 min
6/26/2026, 11:26:05 AM9 trades$2541 min
6/23/2026, 3:09:49 PM9 trades$2332 min
6/20/2026, 5:56:41 AM10 trades$2141 min
12/18/2025, 12:45:02 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/29/2026, 12:33:30 AM2 trades$1992 min
1/5/2026, 2:10:27 AM1 trades$1900 min
7/15/2026, 3:22:38 PM4 trades$1890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-24
01-28
02-04
04-11
06-10
06-26
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 190 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.5 / M13.6 / H39