@nadav.shani

#2,896,56027

0x8e273270a4f4a3b26decd4f2ffc53253b443592d

~23d· 152 markets · 323 tradesVol: $57,2152026-08-05 16:37:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (90/149)15.2/20
0.62x (win $476 / loss $763)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8160/15
Sortino -5.7550/10
$-0.0981 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 669 (149 markets)9.2/10
8/20 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 4332% of peak ($294 / $7)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,603,772$-590Vol: $39,562
⚽ SPORTS#1,364,519$-11Vol: $8,405
₿ CRYPTO#1,436,511$-75Vol: $4,087
📈 ECONOMICS#633,668$-25Vol: $3,036
📢 MENTIONS#96,945$-2Vol: $2,000
🎭 CULTURE#753,062$-40Vol: $125

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-742
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,215
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
188B / 135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-16
Vol: $0
All Time
$-742
Vol: $57,215

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
90W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-742
Win Rate
60%
90W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $287 (0.38739455030590525% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$149
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$75
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$8

Top Losers

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-118
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?$-100
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$-67
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$-53
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-29
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-28
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-25
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.355
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
23.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.6m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)64.4%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 4:38:44 PM16 trades$1,1511 min
6/26/2026, 7:17:34 PM15 trades$9442 min
6/19/2026, 8:09:40 PM11 trades$6020 min
3/12/2026, 9:14:25 PM6 trades$42611 min
1/14/2026, 12:23:52 PM1 trades$4000 min
5/16/2026, 7:35:11 PM10 trades$2886 min
5/20/2026, 6:01:49 PM4 trades$2441 min
5/17/2026, 1:27:03 PM6 trades$2340 min
3/13/2026, 7:14:43 AM2 trades$2111 min
3/13/2026, 8:44:27 AM2 trades$2041 min
3/16/2026, 9:31:51 PM14 trades$18223 min
4/5/2026, 5:01:31 PM2 trades$1640 min
3/10/2026, 8:51:01 PM7 trades$14211 min
6/13/2026, 5:05:33 AM2 trades$1360 min
1/31/2026, 2:35:00 PM2 trades$1291 min
3/13/2026, 8:54:47 AM2 trades$1071 min
3/13/2026, 6:33:47 PM4 trades$10210 min
10/7/2025, 12:47:20 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/13/2026, 8:03:55 PM6 trades$9512 min
3/16/2026, 10:22:35 PM6 trades$8411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
03-07
03-11
03-14
03-17
05-16
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 265 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M14.4 / H64.4