@Randomcnobodykins

#3,069,98921

0x8e449d8f85c57ccd0b2870ce597aa277045fa6be

~118d· 673 markets · 13596 tradesVol: $1,486,9502026-08-06 15:54:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (307/673)7.8/20
0.73x (win $58,476 / loss $79,917)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5820/15
Sortino -4.2730/10
$-0.0741 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 135 (673 markets)10/10
44/107 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 5671% of peak ($22,247 / $392)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 20.2 entries/market
Whale
$289,283 invested
High Roller
$1,743/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,677,646$-20,314Vol: $1,076,604
🎭 CULTURE#790,163$-147Vol: $409,705
💰 FINANCE#617,271$-43Vol: $640

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,503
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,486,950
Total Redeem
$11,350
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
673
total markets
Trades
7900B / 5696S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
307W / 366L events
Realized PnL
$-20,503
Win Rate
46%
307W / 366L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$190
Avg Loss
$-221

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,084 (1.0283307866124256% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$8,569
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?$7,906
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?$4,610
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$4,563
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$3,548
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$2,512
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?$1,662
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?$1,574
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$1,440
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$1,416

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-6,854
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 3?$-5,103
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$-4,420
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$-3,949
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?$-3,861
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-3,685
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-3,182
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$-3,118
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5?$-2,926
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 6?$-2,900

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.187
Sortino
-0.208
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
81.9
Very active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 4.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock82 trades/day — mass trading4.1 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)55.5%
High (>55c)23.4%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 4:12:02 PM2 trades$11,7640 min
5/1/2026, 8:43:40 PM206 trades$9,81338 min
6/8/2026, 3:59:39 PM20 trades$9,4626 min
4/28/2026, 4:12:46 PM2 trades$8,7410 min
5/7/2026, 4:11:55 PM2 trades$7,3070 min
5/8/2026, 4:36:41 PM2 trades$7,1330 min
1/15/2026, 3:23:52 AM50 trades$7,07519 min
3/31/2026, 4:00:09 PM65 trades$6,79128 min
5/4/2026, 3:34:06 AM111 trades$6,75925 min
6/6/2026, 5:15:30 AM136 trades$5,93120 min
6/9/2026, 11:31:24 PM115 trades$5,13429 min
5/13/2026, 10:49:56 PM12 trades$4,7592 min
5/5/2026, 8:20:32 PM189 trades$4,69541 min
4/29/2026, 9:51:20 PM111 trades$4,6179 min
5/4/2026, 12:28:50 PM3 trades$4,1750 min
1/14/2026, 3:15:02 PM1 trades$4,0770 min
1/13/2026, 7:38:50 PM22 trades$3,98717 min
1/15/2026, 6:46:20 PM3 trades$3,9252 min
4/1/2026, 2:22:19 PM9 trades$3,7751 min
4/28/2026, 2:19:18 PM2 trades$3,6880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-02
02-25
03-15
04-03
05-22
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 164 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.25/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.1 / M55.5 / H23.4