warriet

@warriet

#2,617,94941

0x8e6ca9420c86d7d9760afbbf0362c29b13e56ed0

~248d· 837 markets · 1710 tradesVol: $33,078 @JonArrieta132026-08-04 23:03:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (663/811)20/20
0.89x (win $543 / loss $607)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5640/15
Sortino -0.6680/10
$-0.0036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 65 (811 markets)10/10
157/214 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 313% of peak ($127 / $41)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Consistent
157/214 profitable days
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,170,699$-11Vol: $12,743
🏛️ POLITICS#1,475,871$-55Vol: $5,919
💰 FINANCE#624,938$-67Vol: $4,990
🎭 CULTURE#37,968$33Vol: $4,373
🌤️ WEATHER#37,692$3Vol: $2,043
📈 ECONOMICS#614,902$-14Vol: $1,797
SPORTS#1,459,228$-20Vol: $921
💻 TECH#206,545$-3Vol: $140
📢 MENTIONS#22,426$7Vol: $110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-126
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,078
Total Redeem
$1,404
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
837
total markets
Trades
1141B / 569S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~248d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $12
Week
$-0
Vol: $162
Month
$-1
Vol: $175
All Time
$-126
Vol: $33,078

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
663W / 148L events
Realized PnL
$-126
Win Rate
82%
663W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $95 (0.7493861386138614% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$25
Will Powell say "Inflation" 25+ times during speech on October 14?$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$17
Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$16
Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?$14
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$7

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-88
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-44
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?$-24
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-22
76ers vs. Celtics$-22
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?$-22
Will Gambling.com (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?$-22
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-22
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?$-20
Lakers vs. Mavericks$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal2.8 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)94.3%

Sessions

#12
10/31/2025, 2:55:31 PM2 trades$1,0642 min
5/6/2026, 6:36:02 AM24 trades$5237 min
10/31/2025, 9:51:35 AM2 trades$5041 min
11/19/2025, 10:32:27 PM5 trades$4904 min
5/15/2026, 6:16:31 AM11 trades$4866 min
5/19/2026, 5:12:46 AM11 trades$3722 min
4/5/2026, 6:59:45 AM23 trades$3627 min
5/5/2026, 5:18:42 AM6 trades$2941 min
5/4/2026, 7:28:12 AM31 trades$28810 min
5/10/2026, 6:57:00 AM28 trades$2813 min
5/14/2026, 6:28:47 AM11 trades$2773 min
5/12/2026, 6:52:10 AM11 trades$2614 min
11/15/2025, 12:06:50 PM3 trades$2555 min
5/1/2026, 10:36:18 AM27 trades$2446 min
5/8/2026, 6:17:45 AM7 trades$2211 min
5/9/2026, 6:39:21 AM14 trades$2104 min
5/13/2026, 6:38:13 AM8 trades$2105 min
5/18/2026, 6:31:27 AM15 trades$2097 min
4/25/2026, 6:22:44 AM17 trades$1934 min
6/8/2026, 8:13:49 AM5 trades$1881 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
12-07
01-13
02-17
03-25
05-03
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M2.9 / H94.3