@0x8e6EB2…6043

#142,53438

0x8e6eb22a04812eb482fbd63eec06b6408effa9db

~199d· 1470 markets · 11958 tradesVol: $995,1602026-08-04 20:39:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (871/1470)14.6/20
1.02x (win $2,301 / loss $2,252)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1372.6/15
Sortino 0.1541.5/10
$+0.0067 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 38 (1470 markets)10/10
110/196 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($576 / $517)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+314
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.1 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#25,786$69Vol: $963,149
🌤️ WEATHER#4,761$204Vol: $28,621
💰 FINANCE#597,807$-21Vol: $1,622
CRYPTO#144,437$37Vol: $771
🏛️ POLITICS#837,503$-1Vol: $580
📈 ECONOMICS#25,653$26Vol: $417

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$314
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$995,160
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1470
total markets
Trades
8242B / 3716S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $395
Month
$5
Vol: $771
All Time
$314
Vol: $995,160

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
871W / 599L events
Realized PnL
$314
Win Rate
59%
871W / 599L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $207 (0.6608371559633027% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?$99
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$59
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5?$50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$36
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$23

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-296
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-193
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-158
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$-149
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-119
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-79
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$-38
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.007
Sortino
0.006
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
14.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
45.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.2m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 6.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock46 trades/day — high frequency5.6 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)7.1%

Sessions

#12
4/18/2026, 5:12:16 AM2 trades$3000 min
5/5/2026, 6:50:08 AM2 trades$3000 min
3/31/2026, 9:03:43 PM19 trades$2067 min
4/3/2026, 3:05:59 PM3 trades$2000 min
2/10/2026, 5:16:53 AM1 trades$1980 min
6/13/2026, 5:42:57 AM12 trades$1932 min
11/22/2025, 1:57:25 PM33 trades$19140 min
1/31/2026, 5:47:14 AM128 trades$17645 min
3/10/2026, 10:04:29 PM9 trades$1596 min
3/21/2026, 9:16:21 AM12 trades$14312 min
2/7/2026, 6:04:41 AM3 trades$1403 min
6/9/2026, 8:51:31 AM6 trades$1270 min
6/11/2026, 5:41:37 PM13 trades$1231 min
3/31/2026, 6:24:57 PM12 trades$1032 min
6/27/2026, 7:35:58 AM6 trades$1000 min
3/31/2026, 7:16:05 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/8/2026, 6:12:19 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/11/2026, 4:41:22 AM30 trades$1005 min
2/3/2026, 5:14:10 AM1 trades$990 min
1/15/2026, 9:22:48 AM6 trades$932 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
12-11
01-12
02-14
03-20
04-29
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 124 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.5 / M1.3 / H7.1