BalancedFury

@BalancedFury

#2,768,33787

0x8e83a67f888f29ca710884beeaf057abc255bdd4

~155d· 433 markets · 2648 tradesVol: $202,0352026-08-04 18:10:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (393/428)20/20
1.75x (win $5,088 / loss $2,908)11.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.98215/15
Sortino 5.22010/10
$+0.0129 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 188 (428 markets)10/10
112/126 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($526 / $2,180)9.2/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 92%
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Whale
$169,475 invested
Consistent
112/126 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#22,389$701Vol: $76,057
SPORTS#196,091$32Vol: $30,760
📈 ECONOMICS#665,325$-148Vol: $24,301
🎭 CULTURE#10,875$301Vol: $24,175
💰 FINANCE#16,753$116Vol: $11,819
📢 MENTIONS#5,304$124Vol: $5,907
CRYPTO#175,652$22Vol: $4,737
🌤️ WEATHER#54,207$1Vol: $226
💻 TECH#61,371$0Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-280
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$202,035
Total Redeem
$4,781
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
433
total markets
Trades
2052B / 596S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~155d

Periods

#2
Today
$39
Vol: $923
Week
$32
Vol: $1,100
Month
$69
Vol: $1,100
All Time
$-280
Vol: $202,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
393W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-280
Win Rate
92%
393W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.75x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-100

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $832 (2.973849671334667% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$418
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$232
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$183
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$137
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$128
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$125
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$123
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$119
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$117
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$100

Top Losers

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$-719
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$-427
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-390
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winner$-276
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$-257
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-233
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$-166
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-159
LoL: BRUTE vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner$-57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.208
Sortino
0.134
HHI
238
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
24.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 226s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.0 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)98.6%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 3:18:03 AM17 trades$6,1434 min
6/12/2026, 11:19:51 PM3 trades$5,5950 min
6/16/2026, 6:13:06 AM3 trades$5,2805 min
6/12/2026, 6:10:19 PM27 trades$4,58811 min
6/20/2026, 9:43:25 PM27 trades$3,13816 min
4/30/2026, 8:10:18 PM8 trades$3,1232 min
6/20/2026, 6:32:52 PM17 trades$3,1191 min
6/23/2026, 9:48:46 PM23 trades$3,0689 min
6/26/2026, 3:44:58 AM52 trades$2,77015 min
4/9/2026, 2:54:29 AM2 trades$2,5780 min
6/2/2026, 4:41:55 AM2 trades$2,0675 min
7/20/2026, 4:00:03 PM3 trades$2,0053 min
6/4/2026, 3:33:33 AM2 trades$1,9960 min
5/13/2026, 7:49:06 PM2 trades$1,8870 min
5/1/2026, 3:30:56 AM1 trades$1,8810 min
5/13/2026, 5:03:25 AM6 trades$1,81810 min
5/12/2026, 8:56:36 PM10 trades$1,7525 min
6/21/2026, 11:56:43 PM8 trades$1,5535 min
6/21/2026, 11:49:41 PM12 trades$1,5452 min
5/13/2026, 12:21:09 AM2 trades$1,5420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
01-29
02-24
03-26
05-19
06-25
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M1.2 / H98.6