Th3-K1ng

@Th3-K1ng

#2,865,32522

0x8ef336f131b54870f088803fb680bb2fb399ac46

~97d· 533 markets · 2718 tradesVol: $120,6662026-08-05 00:38:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (234/532)7/20
0.61x (win $8,650 / loss $14,277)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3270/15
Sortino -2.4730/10
$-0.1479 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 362 (532 markets)10/10
38/79 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 695% of peak ($6,936 / $998)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#28,314$463Vol: $48,993
🌤️ WEATHER#297,927$-1,096Vol: $41,501
₿ CRYPTO#1,457,437$-92Vol: $7,003
📢 MENTIONS#11,770$31Vol: $4,855
⚽ SPORTS#162,595$52Vol: $1,609
🎭 CULTURE#25,836$69Vol: $1,246
📈 ECONOMICS#19,342$44Vol: $1,161
💰 FINANCE#415,226$-0Vol: $1,124
💻 TECH#247,375$-77Vol: $1,089

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-562
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,666
Total Redeem
$102
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
533
total markets
Trades
1832B / 886S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-562
Vol: $120,666

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
234W / 298L events
Realized PnL
$-562
Win Rate
44%
234W / 298L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,611 (4.6426298291464425% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,559
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$564
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$488
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$456
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$444
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$388
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$180
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$180
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$179
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$166

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-4,555
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,439
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-738
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on March 18?$-570
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-480
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-455
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-387
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?$-329
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-274
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-243

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.098
HHI
533
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.118
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
40.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.2m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 284s — normal for humanCV 3.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency4.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)45.3%

Sessions

#12
5/22/2026, 9:57:23 PM4 trades$3,2332 min
6/26/2026, 8:37:01 PM6 trades$2,3394 min
3/17/2026, 1:47:07 AM21 trades$1,62417 min
5/22/2026, 9:47:43 PM3 trades$1,6210 min
5/15/2026, 3:41:49 AM12 trades$1,38913 min
6/25/2026, 3:44:50 AM9 trades$1,1636 min
6/16/2026, 9:41:26 PM5 trades$1,1210 min
6/25/2026, 4:56:23 AM14 trades$1,0194 min
4/21/2026, 11:17:36 PM8 trades$1,0150 min
5/15/2026, 2:18:21 AM15 trades$95527 min
3/17/2026, 1:36:17 AM1 trades$9540 min
6/15/2026, 11:33:57 PM7 trades$8650 min
6/16/2026, 11:29:43 PM9 trades$8453 min
7/1/2026, 1:43:31 PM1 trades$7970 min
6/16/2026, 12:33:57 AM9 trades$79611 min
4/21/2026, 9:09:34 PM17 trades$6532 min
6/4/2026, 6:37:00 PM5 trades$6404 min
6/14/2026, 2:22:39 PM17 trades$54010 min
3/17/2026, 1:09:07 AM1 trades$5300 min
3/17/2026, 2:31:19 AM10 trades$46610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
03-23
04-07
05-05
06-01
06-15
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.9 / M31.8 / H45.3