@jeffhardy

#3,068,94040

0x8effee583860fbd87a121cb7044709ce58c5e593

~73d· 72 markets · 390 tradesVol: $935,4702026-08-03 19:26:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (58/71)20/20
0.43x (win $26,845 / loss $61,929)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7350/15
Sortino -2.7630/10
$-0.0561 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 502 (71 markets)10/10
35/46 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 9374% of peak ($41,034 / $438)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 82%
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Whale
$625,695 invested
Consistent
35/46 profitable days
High Roller
$1,117/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#2,826$14,448Vol: $394,498
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,874$-47,218Vol: $267,495
💻 TECH#1,973$600Vol: $111,455
🎭 CULTURE#5,357$912Vol: $106,203
📢 MENTIONS#176,464$-5,405Vol: $23,058
⚽ SPORTS#46,484$720Vol: $3,720
📈 ECONOMICS#616,843$-15Vol: $2,651

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35,102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$935,470
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
303B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$121
Vol: $0
Week
$121
Vol: $7,803
Month
$26
Vol: $7,803
All Time
$-35,102
Vol: $935,470

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
58W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-35,102
Win Rate
82%
58W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$463
Avg Loss
$-4,764

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,187 (0.2902110711955763% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$4,599
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3,005
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$2,584
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$1,431
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1,358
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1,231
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$999
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$855
Will ohnePixel vape on stream in 2025?$855
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$801

Top Losers

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$-35,464
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?$-11,169
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$-5,405
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-5,180
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$-1,320
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-1,188
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$-1,091
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$-444
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$-444
California redistricting referendum passes?$-132

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.142
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
498
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
40.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 858s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)31.4%
High (>55c)68.6%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 7:34:19 PM3 trades$89,9833 min
12/12/2025, 11:08:24 AM1 trades$41,0290 min
12/15/2025, 3:11:19 PM1 trades$30,8310 min
11/21/2025, 10:23:13 AM5 trades$28,3962 min
12/7/2025, 3:34:43 PM1 trades$25,5270 min
12/5/2025, 10:42:43 AM2 trades$25,2330 min
10/5/2025, 10:22:41 PM3 trades$24,7722 min
12/6/2025, 3:02:57 PM9 trades$21,55611 min
11/3/2025, 10:23:31 AM1 trades$20,1890 min
2/5/2026, 3:24:01 PM2 trades$17,2130 min
10/30/2025, 6:42:13 AM1 trades$16,7790 min
1/12/2026, 10:57:06 AM1 trades$15,3160 min
1/7/2026, 12:28:47 PM1 trades$15,2460 min
11/10/2025, 4:26:34 PM1 trades$14,8720 min
11/12/2025, 11:51:36 PM1 trades$14,1680 min
12/16/2025, 10:01:59 AM2 trades$13,7080 min
10/13/2025, 4:04:47 PM1 trades$13,2360 min
8/8/2025, 3:18:55 PM2 trades$11,4421 min
12/6/2025, 9:30:19 AM5 trades$11,4113 min
10/28/2025, 7:36:31 PM2 trades$11,2934 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
10-05
10-28
11-12
11-26
12-12
02-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M31.4 / H68.6