@ScientiaRex

#3,025,04840

0x8f0b2957d8c0ef47609fd01e42959fa6c70e8be2

~54d· 87 markets · 817 tradesVol: $79,6762026-08-06 15:54:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (42/53)20/20
0.35x (win $2,295 / loss $6,625)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2000/15
Sortino -4.1430/10
$-0.0691 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 308 (53 markets)10/10
23/29 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 3157% of peak ($4,620 / $146)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$62,625 invested
Consistent
23/29 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,809$-2,960Vol: $79,676

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,960
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,676
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
377B / 440S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$251
Vol: $0
Month
$394
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,960
Vol: $79,676

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
42W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-2,960
Win Rate
79%
42W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-602

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $743 (0.2510911867246831% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?$325
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?$231
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$187
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?$128
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$117
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?$115
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? $113
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$110
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$89
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?$87

Top Losers

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-2,841
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-1,828
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-684
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-450
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-363
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-187
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-100
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-40
North Korea missile launch by January 31?$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
18.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 159s — normal for humanCV 1.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.83
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
1/28/2026, 12:32:43 PM7 trades$3,5006 min
2/24/2026, 8:44:00 PM3 trades$3,2475 min
1/31/2026, 2:36:40 AM4 trades$2,9005 min
2/20/2026, 1:30:20 AM8 trades$2,00012 min
6/3/2026, 6:51:06 PM14 trades$1,9966 min
7/2/2026, 2:00:25 AM11 trades$1,9303 min
5/7/2026, 3:22:06 AM32 trades$1,8857 min
6/17/2026, 10:44:26 AM3 trades$1,8660 min
6/4/2026, 6:49:22 AM21 trades$1,80412 min
2/20/2026, 3:46:18 PM6 trades$1,76010 min
1/28/2026, 12:09:41 PM2 trades$1,7305 min
7/1/2026, 9:51:46 PM22 trades$1,6095 min
2/1/2026, 4:18:52 PM2 trades$1,5250 min
6/29/2026, 3:36:26 PM2 trades$1,4990 min
2/24/2026, 8:54:38 PM10 trades$1,42119 min
2/1/2026, 5:27:32 PM6 trades$1,39014 min
7/3/2026, 10:46:08 PM23 trades$1,3769 min
2/20/2026, 1:47:16 AM10 trades$1,35011 min
2/20/2026, 2:17:22 AM8 trades$1,30010 min
5/29/2026, 7:06:49 PM20 trades$1,29411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-31
02-20
02-26
06-15
06-23
06-30
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 151 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100