bonebot

@bonebot

#87,20529

0x8f2100aa027be80f8ad7106d21a9f95a26a5b935

~115d· 928 markets · 4841 tradesVol: $720,987 @boneGPT2026-08-04 23:12:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (524/907)13.9/20
0.73x (win $36,054 / loss $49,093)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7730/15
Sortino -2.1930/10
$-0.0766 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 227 (907 markets)10/10
47/95 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 284% of peak ($21,218 / $7,475)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+882
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Whale
$170,280 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#11,263$2,100Vol: $257,245
CRYPTO#1,665,232$-4,152Vol: $209,917
SPORTS#1,817,256$-783Vol: $111,244
💰 FINANCE#3,923$1,086Vol: $72,389
🎭 CULTURE#2,953$2,154Vol: $34,082
📢 MENTIONS#159,493$-64Vol: $16,014
💻 TECH#1,597$830Vol: $13,009
📈 ECONOMICS#672,702$-306Vol: $6,421
🌤️ WEATHER#12,796$33Vol: $579

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$882
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$720,987
Total Redeem
$4,237
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
928
total markets
Trades
2408B / 2433S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-52
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$882
Vol: $720,987

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
524W / 383L events
Realized PnL
$882
Win Rate
58%
524W / 383L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-130

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,840 (10.019064242644058% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5,733
Clavicular charged again by June 30?$1,657
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1,450
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,428
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,159
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?$1,158
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$938
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$907
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$897
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$598

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-8,707
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-4,517
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-2,106
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-2,050
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-2,036
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-1,874
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-1,409
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-1,371
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1,199
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,500 on March 8?$-1,077

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
272
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
26.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.3m
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)37.5%
High (>55c)50.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 9:38:54 PM17 trades$14,1481 min
2/28/2026, 8:49:03 PM2 trades$12,9750 min
7/13/2026, 2:53:05 AM8 trades$9,0061 min
4/8/2026, 3:38:57 AM19 trades$6,3400 min
3/1/2026, 4:50:43 PM2 trades$5,9881 min
4/10/2026, 7:06:25 PM20 trades$4,8727 min
2/23/2026, 7:47:30 PM75 trades$4,74611 min
6/18/2026, 2:30:55 PM82 trades$4,5010 min
6/16/2026, 6:25:27 AM21 trades$4,3490 min
2/24/2026, 5:17:02 AM33 trades$4,27551 min
2/28/2026, 2:01:09 PM3 trades$3,9761 min
4/14/2026, 6:57:42 PM7 trades$3,5940 min
5/9/2026, 2:21:18 AM2 trades$3,5710 min
2/28/2026, 8:54:55 PM3 trades$3,2005 min
2/23/2026, 12:12:26 AM50 trades$3,12045 min
3/29/2026, 2:22:28 AM3 trades$3,0702 min
2/23/2026, 7:22:02 PM27 trades$3,06817 min
2/20/2026, 12:49:08 AM32 trades$2,84048 min
3/3/2026, 8:32:47 PM16 trades$2,78625 min
4/1/2026, 7:58:47 PM2 trades$2,7850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
02-15
03-04
03-25
04-19
05-18
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 136 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M37.5 / H50.3