@Tinkerbell

#2,604,0226

0x8f5998f7791ac53cd9dbd47134362d167976b612

~13d· 16 markets · 74 tradesVol: $146,6832026-08-06 15:53:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (5/14)2.9/20
0.26x (win $41 / loss $156)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.2920/15
Sortino -9.3340/10
$-0.0150 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2063 (14 markets)2.2/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 920% of peak ($142 / $15)0/10

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#653,930$-68Vol: $135,000
🏛️ POLITICS#1,404,558$-26Vol: $10,579
⚽ SPORTS#1,439,164$-18Vol: $538
💰 FINANCE#46,185$15Vol: $519
💻 TECH#237,482$-22Vol: $47

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-117
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$146,683
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
19B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
5W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-117
Win Rate
36%
5W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (0.32748637602179836% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$21
zkSync airdrop by June 30?$15
Will Barcelona win La Liga?$2
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$2
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$1

Top Losers

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-68
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner$-30
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?$-22
Biden wins the Popular Vote?$-11
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?$-8
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-7
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.508
Sortino
-0.545
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.57
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)63.2%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 4:45:13 PM2 trades$2,7980 min
6/22/2026, 9:32:49 AM2 trades$2,7980 min
6/12/2024, 12:35:41 PM4 trades$1,1042 min
6/22/2024, 1:59:09 PM2 trades$5890 min
3/17/2026, 1:59:31 PM1 trades$5850 min
3/17/2026, 10:31:15 PM47 trades$58510 min
1/25/2025, 1:33:00 PM3 trades$1931 min
11/30/2024, 4:11:19 PM2 trades$1870 min
12/6/2024, 6:17:08 PM1 trades$1250 min
10/9/2025, 4:06:38 PM4 trades$371 min
2/21/2025, 4:38:59 PM1 trades$220 min
9/2/2024, 8:25:19 PM2 trades$180 min
1/26/2025, 3:37:43 PM1 trades$100 min
11/5/2024, 11:02:53 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-22
09-02
11-05
11-30
12-06
01-26
02-21
10-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 254 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.3 / M10.5 / H63.2