gesoos

@gesoos

#2,826,13219

0x8f7856760e239d987edb7ae2e0dd583711351141

~167d· 315 markets · 1095 tradesVol: $50,327 @gesoosxbt2026-08-05 17:28:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (108/256)6.1/20
0.34x (win $1,712 / loss $5,103)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5260/15
Sortino -3.5060/10
$-0.2709 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 208 (256 markets)10/10
45/111 profitable days (41%)2.6/10
Max DD 1097516% of peak ($3,402 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#177,435$42Vol: $19,148
CRYPTO#1,567,975$-314Vol: $13,325
🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,049$-65Vol: $11,543
🎭 CULTURE#778,510$-87Vol: $2,405
💰 FINANCE#21,427$73Vol: $1,560
🌤️ WEATHER#267,610$-28Vol: $1,140
📈 ECONOMICS#619,035$-16Vol: $545
💻 TECH#225,853$-10Vol: $119

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-412
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,327
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
315
total markets
Trades
657B / 438S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~167d

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $161
Week
$-24
Vol: $1,741
Month
$-20
Vol: $2,153
All Time
$-412
Vol: $50,327

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
108W / 148L events
Realized PnL
$-412
Win Rate
42%
108W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $822 (1.994156442461568% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$419
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$221
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$182
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$151
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$127
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$70
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$42
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$41

Top Losers

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?$-625
Will Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?$-590
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-542
Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?$-490
Will AS Roma vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?$-450
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-371
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-366
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-232
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-203
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-158

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.144
HHI
158
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.386
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1054s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)55.3%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 12:00:15 AM10 trades$5473 min
7/28/2026, 8:36:19 PM14 trades$4076 min
5/12/2026, 2:59:29 PM2 trades$3400 min
5/8/2026, 2:14:36 AM2 trades$2953 min
5/8/2026, 4:42:03 PM2 trades$2941 min
5/17/2026, 4:10:07 PM1 trades$2500 min
5/17/2026, 3:12:19 PM1 trades$2400 min
5/17/2026, 10:08:26 AM17 trades$2303 min
5/17/2026, 9:54:05 AM2 trades$2054 min
5/8/2026, 6:30:11 PM4 trades$1961 min
6/11/2026, 12:53:43 PM1 trades$1930 min
6/21/2026, 10:14:29 AM3 trades$1900 min
6/14/2026, 10:11:49 PM3 trades$1840 min
5/8/2026, 6:46:25 PM3 trades$1840 min
5/8/2026, 6:58:14 PM5 trades$1777 min
6/10/2026, 7:05:10 AM1 trades$1750 min
5/17/2026, 9:44:50 AM1 trades$1750 min
5/19/2026, 6:10:53 PM7 trades$1752 min
7/6/2026, 10:03:32 PM1 trades$1740 min
7/30/2026, 9:01:03 PM1 trades$1720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-23
01-06
02-13
03-24
04-28
06-21
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 310 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.3 / M21.5 / H55.3